Akashic

county

Lincoln County, ME

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

English26.2%21.8%9.5%

Irish14.6%16.5%9.4%

German11.5%7.8%12.5%

French7.7%11.3%1.6%

Scottish7.3%4.4%1.3%

American6.6%5.9%5.3%

Italian4.1%5.4%4.8%

French Canadian2.4%6.1%—

Mexican0.5%0.6%11.3%

Puerto Rican0.3%0.5%1.8%

Chilean0.2%——

Spanish0.2%——

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Lincoln County	Maine	United States
Median age	51.4	44.8	39.1
Age 18–24	6.0%	8.0%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	29.4%	22.3%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Lincoln County	Maine	United States
Median household income	$76,875	$74,733	$84,427
Poverty rate	7.9%	10.8%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	40.2%	36.1%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Lincoln County	Maine	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	3.3%	6.1%	22.3%

Religious landscape

Measure	Lincoln County	Maine	United States
Catholic	7.1%	16.1%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	3.9%	6.0%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	79.8%	69.3%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	7.9%	4.8%	5.2%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 81.5% of 29,836 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic54.6%13,110TrumpRepublican43.4%10,409SteinIndependent1.1%259

D+11.3

Lead: 2,701
Total: 24,003
vs nation: D+12.7
Turnout: 81.5%

BidenDemocratic53.2%12,684TrumpRepublican43.0%10,256JorgensenLibertarian1.8%424

D+10.2

Lead: 2,428
Total: 23,857
vs nation: D+5.7
Turnout: 84.3%

ClintonDemocratic47.6%10,241TrumpRepublican45.2%9,727JohnsonLibertarian4.9%1,043

D+2.4

Lead: 514
Total: 21,503
vs nation: D+0.3
Turnout: 80.0%

ObamaDemocratic54.5%11,315RomneyRepublican42.9%8,899OtherAll other candidates2.6%543

D+11.6

Lead: 2,416
Total: 20,757
vs nation: D+7.8
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic55.1%11,886McCainRepublican43.0%9,287OtherAll other candidates1.9%411

D+12.0

Lead: 2,599
Total: 21,584
vs nation: D+4.8
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic51.3%11,351BushRepublican46.8%10,370OtherAll other candidates1.9%421

D+4.4

Lead: 981
Total: 22,142
vs nation: D+6.9
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic43.9%8,634BushRepublican48.1%9,457NaderGreen6.7%1,323

R+4.2

Lead: 823
Total: 19,671
vs nation: R+4.7
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic44.7%8,130DoleRepublican35.1%6,372PerotReform16.1%2,923

D+9.7

Lead: 1,758
Total: 18,173
vs nation: D+1.2
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+11.3MIT Election Lab
Population: 36,0992024 5-year
Median household income: $76,8752024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 93.1%2024 5-year
Black: 0.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 1.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+31.6 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+72.1 in 1956MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Sagadahoc County, ME · twin score 97.6

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 81.5%24,330 participants ÷ 29,836 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +12.5 ptsVolatile
Drop-off versus state: -2.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 69.1%–70.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	22,237	27,783	80.0%	B/A
2018 · Midterm	19,429	28,008	69.4%	B/A
2020 · Presidential	23,857	28,298	84.3%	B/A
2022 · Midterm	21,053	29,313	71.8%	B/A
2024 · Presidential	24,330	29,836	81.5%	B/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 292/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 296/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 300/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 305/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 310/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

19 precincts · 24,003 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Lincoln County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct 151602301515160	1,366	1,598	59	3,023	45.2%	52.9%	R+7.7
Precinct 151902301515190	1,181	1,113	61	2,355	50.1%	47.3%	D+2.9
Precinct 150202301515020	1,252	919	32	2,203	56.8%	41.7%	D+15.1
Precinct 150502301515050	1,326	807	30	2,163	61.3%	37.3%	D+24.0
Precinct 150902301515090	751	972	41	1,764	42.6%	55.1%	R+12.5
Precinct 150602301515060	1,004	469	23	1,496	67.1%	31.4%	D+35.8
Precinct 151802301515180	677	758	43	1,478	45.8%	51.3%	R+5.5
Precinct 150302301515030	854	527	17	1,398	61.1%	37.7%	D+23.4
Precinct 151102301515110	942	394	34	1,370	68.8%	28.8%	D+40.0
Precinct 151202301515120	718	612	19	1,349	53.2%	45.4%	D+7.9
Precinct 150702301515070	556	643	21	1,220	45.6%	52.7%	R+7.1
Precinct 150802301515080	526	336	15	877	60.0%	38.3%	D+21.7
Precinct 151402301515140	447	251	27	725	61.7%	34.6%	D+27.0
Precinct 150402301515040	399	192	10	601	66.4%	31.9%	D+34.4
Precinct 151702301515170	313	236	11	560	55.9%	42.1%	D+13.8
Precinct 150102301515010	324	192	17	533	60.8%	36.0%	D+24.8
Precinct 151502301515150	299	159	4	462	64.7%	34.4%	D+30.3
Precinct 151302301515130	124	224	14	362	34.3%	61.9%	R+27.6
Precinct 151002301515100	51	7	6	64	79.7%	10.9%	D+68.8

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−11.5%
1896	−35.5%
1900	−21.5%
1904	−24.6%
1908	−16.6%
1912	+31.6%
1916	−1.8%
1920	−48.4%
1924	−56.8%
1928	−58.0%
1932	−28.2%
1936	−47.0%
1940	−36.9%
1944	−40.1%
1948	−61.9%
1952	−67.7%
1956	−72.1%
1960	−52.8%
1964	+12.3%
1968	−24.6%
1972	−44.6%
1976	−21.4%
1980	−18.6%
1984	−35.7%
1988	−24.5%
1992	+1.6%
1996	+9.7%
2000	−4.2%
2004	+4.4%
2008	+12.0%
2012	+11.6%
2016	+2.4%
2020	+10.2%
2024	+11.3%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	D	54.6%Harris13,110	43.4%Trump10,409	1.1%Stein259 +3	D+11.3	D+1.1	D+12.7	24,003
All 6 candidates in 2024 · 4 minor / independent Kamala D HarrisDemocratic54.6%13,110 Donald J TrumpRepublican43.4%10,409 Jill SteinIndependent1.1%259 Chase OliverLibertarian0.6%148 Cornel WestIndependent0.2%59 OthersIndependent0.1%18
2020	D	53.2%Biden12,684	43.0%Trump10,256	1.8%Jorgensen424	D+10.2	D+7.8	D+5.7	23,857
2016	D	47.6%Clinton10,241	45.2%Trump9,727	4.9%Johnson1,043	D+2.4	R+9.2	D+0.3	21,503
2012	D	54.5%Obama11,315	42.9%Romney8,899	2.6%	D+11.6	R+0.4	D+7.8	20,757
2008	D	55.1%Obama11,886	43.0%McCain9,287	1.9%	D+12.0	D+7.6	D+4.8	21,584
2004	D	51.3%Kerry11,351	46.8%Bush10,370	1.9%	D+4.4	D+8.6	D+6.9	22,142
2000	R	43.9%Gore8,634	48.1%Bush9,457	6.7%Nader1,323	R+4.2	R+13.9	R+4.7	19,671
1996	D	44.7%Clinton8,130	35.1%Dole6,372	16.1%Perot2,923	D+9.7	D+8.1	D+1.2	18,173
1992	D	35.3%Clinton6,714	33.6%Bush6,405	30.5%Perot5,808	D+1.6	D+26.1	R+3.9	19,036
1988	R	37.3%Dukakis5,939	61.8%Bush9,837	0.9%	R+24.5	D+11.2	R+16.8	15,920
1984	R	32.0%Mondale4,869	67.7%Reagan10,312	0.4%	R+35.7	R+17.1	R+17.5	15,236
1980	R	33.5%Carter4,776	52.1%Reagan7,434	14.4%	R+18.6	D+2.7	R+8.9	14,259
1976	R	37.6%Carter4,818	59.0%Ford7,554	3.3%	R+21.4	D+23.2	R+23.4	12,797
1972	R	27.7%McGovern2,903	72.3%Nixon7,580	0.0%	R+44.6	R+20.0	R+21.4	10,487
1968	R	36.5%Humphrey3,380	61.1%Nixon5,659	2.4%	R+24.6	R+36.9	R+23.9	9,261
1964	D	56.1%Johnson5,099	43.8%Goldwater3,984	0.1%	D+12.3	D+65.0	R+10.3	9,094
1960	R	23.6%Kennedy2,337	76.4%Nixon7,562	0.0%	R+52.8	D+19.4	R+52.9	9,899
1956	R	13.9%Stevenson1,164	86.1%Eisenhower7,191	0.0%	R+72.1	R+4.4	R+56.7	8,355
1952	R	16.1%Stevenson1,299	83.8%Eisenhower6,766	0.1%	R+67.7	R+5.8	R+57.0	8,074
1948	R	18.6%Truman1,095	80.5%Dewey4,743	1.0%	R+61.9	R+21.8	R+66.4	5,894
1944	R	29.9%Roosevelt2,102	70.0%Dewey4,919	0.1%	R+40.1	R+3.2	R+47.6	7,030
1940	R	31.5%Roosevelt2,415	68.4%Willkie5,244	0.1%	R+36.9	D+10.1	R+46.9	7,664
1936	R	25.6%Roosevelt1,850	72.6%Landon5,252	1.8%	R+47.0	R+18.8	R+71.3	7,232
1932	R	35.6%Roosevelt2,602	63.8%Hoover4,666	0.6%	R+28.2	D+29.8	R+46.0	7,309
1928	R	20.8%Smith1,181	78.8%Hoover4,470	0.3%	R+58.0	R+1.2	R+40.6	5,669
1924	R	20.5%Davis878	77.4%Coolidge3,311	1.9%La Follette82	R+56.8	R+8.4	R+31.7	4,280
1920	R	25.2%Cox1,256	73.6%Harding3,668	1.2%	R+48.4	R+46.6	R+22.2	4,983
1916	R	48.2%Wilson1,718	50.0%Hughes1,781	1.8%	R+1.8	R+33.4	R+4.9	3,564
1912	D	43.9%Wilson1,633	12.3%Taft457	43.8%	D+31.6	D+48.2	D+12.1	3,721
1908	R	39.9%Bryan1,196	56.4%Taft1,693	3.7%	R+16.6	D+8.0	R+7.0	3,000
1904	R	35.9%Parker1,065	60.5%Roosevelt1,794	3.5%	R+24.6	R+3.1	R+4.9	2,963
1900	R	38.5%Bryan1,419	60.0%McKinley2,212	1.5%	R+21.5	D+14.0	R+14.0	3,688
1896	R	31.0%Bryan1,211	66.5%McKinley2,596	2.5%	R+35.5	R+24.0	R+29.4	3,906
1892	R	42.0%Cleveland1,585	53.4%Harrison2,018	4.6%	R+11.5	—	R+13.1	3,776
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 1 House · 37 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2018	D	58.1%10,409	41.9%7,506	17,915

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	O	9.8%2,275	32.8%7,613	23,185
2020Class II	R	42.7%Sara Gideon10,102	51.1%Susan Collins12,075	23,640
2018Class I	D	61.2%Angus King10,763	38.8%Eric Brakey6,814	17,577
2014Class II	R	31.4%Shenna Bellows5,646	68.5%Susan Collins12,321	17,983
2012Class I	D	61.6%Angus King11,515	35.5%Charles Summer Jr.6,639	18,687
2008Class II	R	36.4%Tom Allen7,847	63.5%Susan Collins13,691	21,565
2006Class I	R	19.6%Jean Hay Bright3,427	75.8%Olympia Snowe13,274	17,501
2002Class II	R	40.7%Chellie Pingree6,589	59.3%Susan Collins9,609	16,198
2000Class I	R	26.0%Mark Lawrence4,976	74.0%Olympia Snowe14,150	19,126
1996Class II	R	38.8%Joseph Brennan6,986	53.2%Susan Collins9,589	18,021
1994Class I	R	31.9%Thomas Andrews4,956	65.0%Olympia Snowe10,120	15,559
1990Class II	R	32.8%Neil Rolde5,038	67.2%William Cohen10,336	15,375
1988Class I	D	77.4%George Mitchell12,148	22.6%Jasper S. Wyman3,541	15,690
1984Class II	R	23.0%Elizabeth Mitchell3,505	76.3%William Cohen11,649	15,263
1982Class I	D	50.2%George Mitchell6,844	49.8%David F. Emery6,796	13,640
1978Class II	R	22.7%William Hathaway2,413	67.0%William Cohen7,134	10,646
1976Class I	D	51.8%Ed Muskie6,712	48.2%Robert A.G. Monks6,255	12,967
1972Class II	R	36.7%William Hathaway3,903	63.3%Margaret Chase Smith6,730	10,633
1970Class I	R	44.0%Ed Muskie3,513	56.0%Neil S. Bishop4,472	7,985
1966Class II	R	25.1%Elmer H. Violette1,905	74.9%Margaret Chase Smith5,690	7,595
1964Class I	D	56.7%Ed Muskie5,147	43.3%Clifford McIntire3,927	9,074
1960Class II	R	20.5%Lucia M. Cormier2,020	79.5%Margaret Chase Smith7,811	9,831
1958Class I	R	41.0%Ed Muskie2,807	59.0%Frederick Payne4,035	6,842
1954Class II	R	22.7%Paul A. Fullam1,325	77.3%Margaret Chase Smith4,524	5,849
1952Class I	R	0.0%Roger P. Dube0	79.2%Frederick Payne4,072	5,142
1948Class II	R	9.8%Adrian H. Scolten493	90.2%Margaret Chase Smith4,556	5,049
1946Class I	R	20.0%Peter MacDonald732	80.0%Ralph O. Brewster2,925	3,657
1942Class II	R	24.5%Fulton J. Redman1,227	75.5%Wallace H. White Jr.3,773	5,000
1940Class I	R	28.8%Louis J. Brann1,938	71.1%Ralph O. Brewster4,777	6,722
1936Class II	R	35.8%Louis J. Brann2,865	64.2%Wallace H. White Jr.5,137	8,002
1934Class I	R	37.9%F. Harold Dubord2,893	62.1%Frederick Hale4,744	7,640
1930Class II	R	27.7%Frank Haskell1,062	72.3%Wallace H. White Jr.2,767	3,829
1928Class I	R	24.4%Herbert Holmes1,306	75.6%Frederick Hale4,042	5,348
1924Class II	R	37.4%Fulton J. Redman2,468	62.6%Bert M. Fernald4,130	6,598
1922Class I	R	39.7%Oakley C. Curtis2,431	60.3%Frederick Hale3,688	6,119
1918Class II	R	45.1%Earl Newbert1,682	54.9%Bert M. Fernald2,051	3,733
1916Class I	R	48.3%Charles Johnson2,059	50.7%Frederick Hale2,159	4,259

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
1926Special · Class II	R	24.9%Fulton J. Redman559	75.1%Arthur R. Gould1,688	2,247
1916Special · Class II	R	48.5%Kenneth Sills2,050	51.4%Bert M. Fernald2,174	4,231

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2022	D	56.6%Janet T Mills11,853	41.7%Paul R Lepage8,744	20,946
2018	D	50.9%Janet T Mills9,676	43.8%Shawn H Moody8,324	19,019
2014	R	42.1%Mike Michaud7,633	50.5%Paul LePage9,157	18,141
2010	—	18.6%Libby Mitchell3,304	40.5%Paul LePage7,196	17,755
2006	—	33.0%John Baldacci5,825	31.2%Chandler Woodcock5,494	17,631
2002	R	38.7%John Baldacci6,325	46.0%Peter Cianchette7,512	16,333
1998	—	8.7%Tom Connolly1,205	19.2%James B. Longley Jr.2,672	13,886
1994	—	26.7%Joseph Brennan4,167	22.0%Susan Collins3,428	15,597
1990	R	35.8%Joseph Brennan5,571	53.8%John McKernan8,368	15,550
1986	R	23.5%James Tierney3,021	46.9%John McKernan6,021	12,834
1982	D	53.4%Joseph Brennan7,241	44.7%Charles Cragin6,059	13,567
1978	R	26.6%Joseph Brennan2,803	56.5%Linwood E. Palmer Jr.5,939	10,519

voter registration

Registered voters

By party of registration, over time

Party registration · 2025D+3.3

Presidential vote · 2024D+11.3

Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 7.9 points more Republican.

29,742 registered voters · 2025

Democratic33.9%Republican30.6%Unaffiliated29.5%Other6.0%

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

+232 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net +3,667 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $82,590 in average income, against $78,645 for residents who stayed — 5% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean D+15.9 on average — 4.6 points more Democratic-leaning than Lincoln County, ME itself (D+11.3).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Kennebec County, ME133R+2.7
Cumberland County, ME115D+35.3
Knox County, ME114D+18.6
Sagadahoc County, ME79D+16.6
York County, ME35D+10.5
Middlesex County, MA33D+39.2

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Kennebec County, ME152
Cumberland County, ME122
Knox County, ME95
Sagadahoc County, ME83
Androscoggin County, ME24

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Lincoln County, ME in Lincoln County, ME: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	−46
2012	+13
2013	+81
2014	+82
2015	−101
2016	+297
2017	+340
2018	+296
2019	+341
2021	+1,009
2022	+452
2023	+415
2024	+256
2025	+232

Lincoln County hugs Midcoast Maine's peninsula-studded shoreline, drawing seasonal residents and retirees who have tilted the electorate consistently toward Democratic presidential candidates by double-digit margins across recent cycles.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 31.6 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 72.1 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.1 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 11.3 points.

A population of 36,099, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,875 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Sagadahoc County and Hancock County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Sagadahoc County

Maine

97.6twin score

2012–2024 trajectory≠ French ancestry

Hancock County

Maine

97.4twin score

2012–2024 trajectory≠ Polish ancestry

Waldo County

Maine

96.7twin score

2004–2024 trajectory≠ Scottish ancestry

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

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Frequently asked questions

How did Lincoln County, Maine vote in 2024?

In 2024, Lincoln County, Maine voted Democratic by 11.3 points (D+11.3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 24,003 votes cast, 13,110 went Democratic and 10,409 went Republican.

When did Lincoln County, Maine last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Lincoln County, Maine voted Republican was 2000.

How many people live in Lincoln County, Maine?

Lincoln County, Maine has a population of 36,099 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Lincoln County, Maine?

Median household income in Lincoln County, Maine is $76,875 — below the national median of $80,734. The Maine state median is $74,733.

What is the political history of Lincoln County, Maine?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Lincoln County, Maine from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.

Measure

Lincoln County

Maine

United States

Median age

51.4

44.8

39.1

Age 18–24

6.0%

8.0%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

29.4%

22.3%

17.2%

Measure

Lincoln County

Maine

United States

Median household income

$76,875

$74,733

$84,427

Poverty rate

7.9%

10.8%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

40.2%

36.1%

35.6%

Measure

Lincoln County

Maine

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

3.3%

6.1%

22.3%

Measure

Lincoln County

Maine

United States

Catholic

7.1%

16.1%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

3.9%

6.0%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

79.8%

69.3%

51.5%

Mainline Protestant

7.9%

4.8%

5.2%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

D+11.3MIT Election Lab

Population

36,0992024 5-year

Median household income

$76,8752024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

93.1%2024 5-year

Black

0.8%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

1.4%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+31.6 in 1912MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+72.1 in 1956MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Sagadahoc County, ME · twin score 97.6

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

22,237

27,783

80.0%

B/A

2018 · Midterm

19,429

28,008

69.4%

B/A

2020 · Presidential

23,857

28,298

84.3%

B/A

2022 · Midterm

21,053

29,313

71.8%

B/A

2024 · Presidential

24,330

29,836

81.5%

B/A

Lincoln County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct 151602301515160

1,366

1,598

3,023

45.2%

52.9%

R+7.7

Precinct 151902301515190

1,181

1,113

2,355

50.1%

47.3%

D+2.9

Precinct 150202301515020

1,252

919

2,203

56.8%

41.7%

D+15.1

Precinct 150502301515050

1,326

807

2,163

61.3%

37.3%

D+24.0

Precinct 150902301515090

751

972

1,764

42.6%

55.1%

R+12.5

Precinct 150602301515060

1,004

469

1,496

67.1%

31.4%

D+35.8

Precinct 151802301515180

677

758

1,478

45.8%

51.3%

R+5.5

Precinct 150302301515030

854

527

1,398

61.1%

37.7%

D+23.4

Precinct 151102301515110

942

394

1,370

68.8%

28.8%

D+40.0

Precinct 151202301515120

718

612

1,349

53.2%

45.4%

D+7.9

Precinct 150702301515070

556

643

1,220

45.6%

52.7%

R+7.1

Precinct 150802301515080

526

336

877

60.0%

38.3%

D+21.7

Precinct 151402301515140

447

251

725

61.7%

34.6%

D+27.0

Precinct 150402301515040

399

192

601

66.4%

31.9%

D+34.4

Precinct 151702301515170

313

236

560

55.9%

42.1%

D+13.8

Precinct 150102301515010

324

192

533

60.8%

36.0%

D+24.8

Precinct 151502301515150

299

159

462

64.7%

34.4%

D+30.3

Precinct 151302301515130

124

224

362

34.3%

61.9%

R+27.6

Precinct 151002301515100

79.7%

10.9%

D+68.8

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−11.5%
1896	−35.5%
1900	−21.5%
1904	−24.6%
1908	−16.6%
1912	+31.6%
1916	−1.8%
1920	−48.4%
1924	−56.8%
1928	−58.0%
1932	−28.2%
1936	−47.0%
1940	−36.9%
1944	−40.1%
1948	−61.9%
1952	−67.7%
1956	−72.1%
1960	−52.8%
1964	+12.3%
1968	−24.6%
1972	−44.6%
1976	−21.4%
1980	−18.6%
1984	−35.7%
1988	−24.5%
1992	+1.6%
1996	+9.7%
2000	−4.2%
2004	+4.4%
2008	+12.0%
2012	+11.6%
2016	+2.4%
2020	+10.2%
2024	+11.3%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

54.6%Harris13,110

43.4%Trump10,409

1.1%Stein259 +3

D+11.3

D+1.1

D+12.7

24,003

All 6 candidates in 2024 · 4 minor / independent

Kamala D HarrisDemocratic54.6%13,110
Donald J TrumpRepublican43.4%10,409
Jill SteinIndependent1.1%259
Chase OliverLibertarian0.6%148
Cornel WestIndependent0.2%59
OthersIndependent0.1%18

2020

53.2%Biden12,684

43.0%Trump10,256

1.8%Jorgensen424

D+10.2

D+7.8

D+5.7

23,857

2016

47.6%Clinton10,241

45.2%Trump9,727

4.9%Johnson1,043

D+2.4

R+9.2

D+0.3

21,503

2012

54.5%Obama11,315

42.9%Romney8,899

2.6%

D+11.6

R+0.4

D+7.8

20,757

2008

55.1%Obama11,886

43.0%McCain9,287

1.9%

D+12.0

D+7.6

D+4.8

21,584

2004

51.3%Kerry11,351

46.8%Bush10,370

1.9%

D+4.4

D+8.6

D+6.9

22,142

2000

43.9%Gore8,634

48.1%Bush9,457

6.7%Nader1,323

R+4.2

R+13.9

R+4.7

19,671

1996

44.7%Clinton8,130

35.1%Dole6,372

16.1%Perot2,923

D+9.7

D+8.1

D+1.2

18,173

1992

35.3%Clinton6,714

33.6%Bush6,405

30.5%Perot5,808

D+1.6

D+26.1

R+3.9

19,036

1988

37.3%Dukakis5,939

61.8%Bush9,837

0.9%

R+24.5

D+11.2

R+16.8

15,920

1984

32.0%Mondale4,869

67.7%Reagan10,312

0.4%

R+35.7

R+17.1

R+17.5

15,236

1980

33.5%Carter4,776

52.1%Reagan7,434

14.4%

R+18.6

D+2.7

R+8.9

14,259

1976

37.6%Carter4,818

59.0%Ford7,554

3.3%

R+21.4

D+23.2

R+23.4

12,797

1972

27.7%McGovern2,903

72.3%Nixon7,580

0.0%

R+44.6

R+20.0

R+21.4

10,487

1968

36.5%Humphrey3,380

61.1%Nixon5,659

2.4%

R+24.6

R+36.9

R+23.9

9,261

1964

56.1%Johnson5,099

43.8%Goldwater3,984

0.1%

D+12.3

D+65.0

R+10.3

9,094

1960

23.6%Kennedy2,337

76.4%Nixon7,562

0.0%

R+52.8

D+19.4

R+52.9

9,899

1956

13.9%Stevenson1,164

86.1%Eisenhower7,191

0.0%

R+72.1

R+4.4

R+56.7

8,355

1952

16.1%Stevenson1,299

83.8%Eisenhower6,766

0.1%

R+67.7

R+5.8

R+57.0

8,074

1948

18.6%Truman1,095

80.5%Dewey4,743

1.0%

R+61.9

R+21.8

R+66.4

5,894

1944

29.9%Roosevelt2,102

70.0%Dewey4,919

0.1%

R+40.1

R+3.2

R+47.6

7,030

1940

31.5%Roosevelt2,415

68.4%Willkie5,244

0.1%

R+36.9

D+10.1

R+46.9

7,664

1936

25.6%Roosevelt1,850

72.6%Landon5,252

1.8%

R+47.0

R+18.8

R+71.3

7,232

1932

35.6%Roosevelt2,602

63.8%Hoover4,666

0.6%

R+28.2

D+29.8

R+46.0

7,309

1928

20.8%Smith1,181

78.8%Hoover4,470

0.3%

R+58.0

R+1.2

R+40.6

5,669

1924

20.5%Davis878

77.4%Coolidge3,311

1.9%La Follette82

R+56.8

R+8.4

R+31.7

4,280

1920

25.2%Cox1,256

73.6%Harding3,668

1.2%

R+48.4

R+46.6

R+22.2

4,983

1916

48.2%Wilson1,718

50.0%Hughes1,781

1.8%

R+1.8

R+33.4

R+4.9

3,564

1912

43.9%Wilson1,633

12.3%Taft457

43.8%

D+31.6

D+48.2

D+12.1

3,721

1908

39.9%Bryan1,196

56.4%Taft1,693

3.7%

R+16.6

D+8.0

R+7.0

3,000

1904

35.9%Parker1,065

60.5%Roosevelt1,794

3.5%

R+24.6

R+3.1

R+4.9

2,963

1900

38.5%Bryan1,419

60.0%McKinley2,212

1.5%

R+21.5

D+14.0

R+14.0

3,688

1896

31.0%Bryan1,211

66.5%McKinley2,596

2.5%

R+35.5

R+24.0

R+29.4

3,906

1892

42.0%Cleveland1,585

53.4%Harrison2,018

4.6%

R+11.5

—

R+13.1

3,776

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2018

58.1%10,409

41.9%7,506

17,915

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

9.8%2,275

32.8%7,613

23,185

2020Class II

42.7%Sara Gideon10,102

51.1%Susan Collins12,075

23,640

2018Class I

61.2%Angus King10,763

38.8%Eric Brakey6,814

17,577

2014Class II

31.4%Shenna Bellows5,646

68.5%Susan Collins12,321

17,983

2012Class I

61.6%Angus King11,515

35.5%Charles Summer Jr.6,639

18,687

2008Class II

36.4%Tom Allen7,847

63.5%Susan Collins13,691

21,565

2006Class I

19.6%Jean Hay Bright3,427

75.8%Olympia Snowe13,274

17,501

2002Class II

40.7%Chellie Pingree6,589

59.3%Susan Collins9,609

16,198

2000Class I

26.0%Mark Lawrence4,976

74.0%Olympia Snowe14,150

19,126

1996Class II

38.8%Joseph Brennan6,986

53.2%Susan Collins9,589

18,021

1994Class I

31.9%Thomas Andrews4,956

65.0%Olympia Snowe10,120

15,559

1990Class II

32.8%Neil Rolde5,038

67.2%William Cohen10,336

15,375

1988Class I

77.4%George Mitchell12,148

22.6%Jasper S. Wyman3,541

15,690

1984Class II

23.0%Elizabeth Mitchell3,505

76.3%William Cohen11,649

15,263

1982Class I

50.2%George Mitchell6,844

49.8%David F. Emery6,796

13,640

1978Class II

22.7%William Hathaway2,413

67.0%William Cohen7,134

10,646

1976Class I

51.8%Ed Muskie6,712

48.2%Robert A.G. Monks6,255

12,967

1972Class II

36.7%William Hathaway3,903

63.3%Margaret Chase Smith6,730

10,633

1970Class I

44.0%Ed Muskie3,513

56.0%Neil S. Bishop4,472

7,985

1966Class II

25.1%Elmer H. Violette1,905

74.9%Margaret Chase Smith5,690

7,595

1964Class I

56.7%Ed Muskie5,147

43.3%Clifford McIntire3,927

9,074

1960Class II

20.5%Lucia M. Cormier2,020

79.5%Margaret Chase Smith7,811

9,831

1958Class I

41.0%Ed Muskie2,807

59.0%Frederick Payne4,035

6,842

1954Class II

22.7%Paul A. Fullam1,325

77.3%Margaret Chase Smith4,524

5,849

1952Class I

0.0%Roger P. Dube0

79.2%Frederick Payne4,072

5,142

1948Class II

9.8%Adrian H. Scolten493

90.2%Margaret Chase Smith4,556

5,049

1946Class I

20.0%Peter MacDonald732

80.0%Ralph O. Brewster2,925

3,657

1942Class II

24.5%Fulton J. Redman1,227

75.5%Wallace H. White Jr.3,773

5,000

1940Class I

28.8%Louis J. Brann1,938

71.1%Ralph O. Brewster4,777

6,722

1936Class II

35.8%Louis J. Brann2,865

64.2%Wallace H. White Jr.5,137

8,002

1934Class I

37.9%F. Harold Dubord2,893

62.1%Frederick Hale4,744

7,640

1930Class II

27.7%Frank Haskell1,062

72.3%Wallace H. White Jr.2,767

3,829

1928Class I

24.4%Herbert Holmes1,306

75.6%Frederick Hale4,042

5,348

1924Class II

37.4%Fulton J. Redman2,468

62.6%Bert M. Fernald4,130

6,598

1922Class I

39.7%Oakley C. Curtis2,431

60.3%Frederick Hale3,688

6,119

1918Class II

45.1%Earl Newbert1,682

54.9%Bert M. Fernald2,051

3,733

1916Class I

48.3%Charles Johnson2,059

50.7%Frederick Hale2,159

4,259

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

1926Special · Class II

24.9%Fulton J. Redman559

75.1%Arthur R. Gould1,688

2,247

1916Special · Class II

48.5%Kenneth Sills2,050

51.4%Bert M. Fernald2,174

4,231

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2022

56.6%Janet T Mills11,853

41.7%Paul R Lepage8,744

20,946

2018

50.9%Janet T Mills9,676

43.8%Shawn H Moody8,324

19,019

2014

42.1%Mike Michaud7,633

50.5%Paul LePage9,157

18,141

2010

—

18.6%Libby Mitchell3,304

40.5%Paul LePage7,196

17,755

2006

—

33.0%John Baldacci5,825

31.2%Chandler Woodcock5,494

17,631

2002

38.7%John Baldacci6,325

46.0%Peter Cianchette7,512

16,333

1998

—

8.7%Tom Connolly1,205

19.2%James B. Longley Jr.2,672

13,886

1994

—

26.7%Joseph Brennan4,167

22.0%Susan Collins3,428

15,597

1990

35.8%Joseph Brennan5,571

53.8%John McKernan8,368

15,550

1986

23.5%James Tierney3,021

46.9%John McKernan6,021

12,834

1982

53.4%Joseph Brennan7,241

44.7%Charles Cragin6,059

13,567

1978

26.6%Joseph Brennan2,803

56.5%Linwood E. Palmer Jr.5,939

10,519

Frequently asked questions

How did Lincoln County, Maine vote in 2024?

In 2024, Lincoln County, Maine voted Democratic by 11.3 points (D+11.3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 24,003 votes cast, 13,110 went Democratic and 10,409 went Republican.

When did Lincoln County, Maine last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Lincoln County, Maine voted Republican was 2000.

How many people live in Lincoln County, Maine?

Lincoln County, Maine has a population of 36,099 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Lincoln County, Maine?

Median household income in Lincoln County, Maine is $76,875 — below the national median of $80,734. The Maine state median is $74,733.

What is the political history of Lincoln County, Maine?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Lincoln County, Maine from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.