- Lead
- 1,263
- Total
- 6,225
- vs nation
- D+21.8
Maine 48th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 1,106
- Total
- 6,235
- vs nation
- D+13.3
- Lead
- 526
- Total
- 5,709
- vs nation
- D+7.1
- Lead
- 1,039
- Total
- 5,515
- vs nation
- D+15.0
- Lead
- 1,106
- Total
- 5,765
- vs nation
- D+11.9
- Lead
- 689
- Total
- 5,895
- vs nation
- D+14.1
- Lead
- 144
- Total
- 5,226
- vs nation
- D+2.2
- Lead
- 751
- Total
- 4,880
- vs nation
- D+6.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+20.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 8,6862024 5-year
- Population density
- 119 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 73 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $72,9812024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+34.6 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+69.2 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 46, ME · twin score 98.9
presidential history
Party record book
Maine 48th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
60.2%
1,455 votes · D+20.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 59.3%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
84.6%
1,764 votes · R+69.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 82.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
3,691votes
59.3% of the vote · D+20.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 3,583 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
2,545votes
43.2% of the vote · D+11.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 2,530 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+33.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+7.3 · U.S. R+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · +21.8 pts
Republican
Alf Landon1936
+64.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+40.5 · U.S. D+24.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1948 · +61.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | D | 58.1%2,505 | 41.9%1,806 | 4,311 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+20.3 across a population of under 9,000, this small Maine House district delivers lopsided results at the top of the ticket, suggesting a concentrated base of reliably left-leaning voters.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 34.6 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 69.2 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.6 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 20.3 points.
A population of 8,686, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,981 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 46 and State House District 15.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Maine 48th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/23048/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.