Loading…

Akashic

state house district

Maine 15th State House District

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1876–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1876 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

English26.7%21.8%9.5%

Irish15.3%16.5%9.4%

German10.1%7.8%12.5%

French6.7%11.3%1.6%

American6.3%5.9%5.3%

Scottish5.4%4.4%1.3%

Italian5.2%5.4%4.8%

French Canadian1.6%6.1%—

Puerto Rican0.5%0.5%1.8%

Mexican0.4%0.6%11.3%

Spanish0.3%——

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	ME HD 15	Maine	United States
Median age	53.2	44.8	39.1
Age 18–24	6.6%	8.0%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	27.3%	22.3%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	ME HD 15	Maine	United States
Median household income	$67,895	$74,733	$84,427
Poverty rate	10.8%	10.8%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	39.9%	36.1%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	ME HD 15	Maine	United States
Owner-occupied homes	78.3%	74.3%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	21.7%	25.7%	34.8%
Median home value	$367,400	$296,600	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$1,053	$1,139	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	38.1%	48.4%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	49.1%	20.6%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	ME HD 15	Maine	United States
Mean commute	19.3 min	24.6 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	5.1%	6.9%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	66.9%	70.8%	68.8%
Takes public transit	0.4%	0.5%	3.2%
Works from home	17.9%	15.9%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	ME HD 15	Maine	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	3.8%	6.1%	22.3%
Spanish	1.1%	1.0%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	ME HD 15	Maine	United States
Catholic	—	16.1%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	—	6.0%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	—	69.3%	51.5%

Origins and service

Measure	ME HD 15	Maine	United States
Foreign-born residents	3.5%	4.1%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	2.1%	2.1%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	1.4%	1.9%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	6.3%	8.4%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.480	0.456	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083).

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries

HarrisDemocratic59.5%3,572TrumpRepublican38.2%2,295OtherAll other candidates2.3%137

D+21.3

Lead: 1,277
Total: 6,004
vs nation: D+22.7

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

BidenDemocratic61.8%3,683TrumpRepublican36.1%2,148OtherAll other candidates2.1%127

D+25.8

Lead: 1,535
Total: 5,958
vs nation: D+21.3

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic56.4%3,092TrumpRepublican37.1%2,034OtherAll other candidates6.4%353

D+19.3

Lead: 1,058
Total: 5,479
vs nation: D+17.2

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic63.1%3,348RomneyRepublican34.8%1,845OtherAll other candidates2.1%112

D+28.3

Lead: 1,503
Total: 5,305
vs nation: D+24.5

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic64.5%3,599McCainRepublican33.9%1,890OtherAll other candidates1.6%92

D+30.6

Lead: 1,709
Total: 5,581
vs nation: D+23.3

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

KerryDemocratic60.4%3,416BushRepublican37.9%2,145OtherAll other candidates1.7%98

D+22.5

Lead: 1,271
Total: 5,659
vs nation: D+24.9

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

GoreDemocratic51.4%2,472BushRepublican39.5%1,900OtherAll other candidates9.1%439

D+11.9

Lead: 572
Total: 4,811
vs nation: D+11.4

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic52.6%2,332DoleRepublican28.2%1,253OtherAll other candidates19.2%851

D+24.3

Lead: 1,079
Total: 4,436
vs nation: D+15.8

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+21.3MIT Election Lab
Population: 9,1322024 5-year
Population density: 64 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 143 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $67,8952024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 93.9%2024 5-year
Black: 0.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 1.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+32.0 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+66.2 in 1956MIT Election Lab
Most similar: State House District 42, ME · twin score 98.2

presidential history

Party record book

Maine 15th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Barack Obama2008

64.5%

3,599 votes · D+30.6 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 63.1%

Republican

Dwight D. Eisenhower1956

83.1%

1,718 votes · R+66.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 78.6%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Joe Biden2020

3,683votes

61.8% of the vote · D+25.8 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 3,599 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

2,295votes

38.2% of the vote · D+21.3 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 2,215 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

John Kerry2004

+24.9pts D vs U.S.

Place D+22.5 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +24.5 pts

Republican

Alf Landon1936

+56.8pts R vs U.S.

Place R+32.6 · U.S. D+24.3 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1948 · +51.8 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

DHolly EatonState House · 15

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

U.S. House elections · 1 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	59.8%2,929	40.2%1,972	4,901

Maine 15th State House District sits in New England. In 2024 it voted Democratic.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 32.0 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 66.2 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 21.3 points.

A population of 9,132, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,895 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 42 and State House District 46.

Political twins — state-house districts

The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

State House District 42

population scalemedian age2020–2024 trajectory

State House District 46

median age% unaffiliatedpopulation scale≠ Scottish ancestry

State House District 48

median age% unaffiliatedpopulation scale≠ Scottish ancestry

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

District research tools

Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Maine 15th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/23015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Maine at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2024 Governorstate + county2022 US Houseall districts2024

Places within Maine 15th State House District

counties it covers2

Hancock County Knox County

Frequently asked questions

How did Maine 15th State House District vote in 2024?

In 2024, Maine 15th State House District voted Democratic by 21.3 points (D+21.3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 6,004 votes cast, 3,572 went Democratic and 2,295 went Republican.

When did Maine 15th State House District last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Maine 15th State House District voted Republican was 1988.

How many people live in Maine 15th State House District?

Maine 15th State House District has a population of 9,132 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Maine 15th State House District?

Median household income in Maine 15th State House District is $67,895 — below the national median of $80,734. The Maine state median is $74,733.

What is the political history of Maine 15th State House District?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Maine 15th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 23 went Republican.