- Lead
- 4,266
- Total
- 36,253
- vs nation
- D+13.2
- Turnout
- 79.0%
Hancock County, ME
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 79.0% of 46,457 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 4,387
- Total
- 35,676
- vs nation
- D+7.8
- Turnout
- 79.9%
- Lead
- 2,412
- Total
- 32,130
- vs nation
- D+5.4
- Turnout
- 75.2%
- Lead
- 5,245
- Total
- 30,799
- vs nation
- D+13.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 6,209
- Total
- 32,165
- vs nation
- D+12.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,643
- Total
- 33,122
- vs nation
- D+13.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 251
- Total
- 28,574
- vs nation
- D+0.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,911
- Total
- 26,448
- vs nation
- D+6.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+11.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 56,4602024 5-year
- Median household income
- $72,7442024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+20.4 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+73.8 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Waldo County, ME · twin score 97.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 79.0%36,684 participants ÷ 46,457 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +12.9 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 66.0%–67.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 33,025 | 43,903 | 75.2% | B/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 28,712 | 44,141 | 65.0% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 35,663 | 44,632 | 79.9% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 30,746 | 45,918 | 67.0% | B/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 36,684 | 46,457 | 79.0% | B/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 292/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 296/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 300/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 305/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 310/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
37 precincts · 36,253 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 091302300909130 | 2,480 | 2,483 | 128 | 5,091 | 48.7% | 48.8% | R+0.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 090302300909030 | 2,723 | 863 | 134 | 3,720 | 73.2% | 23.2% | D+50.0 |
| Precinct 090702300909070 | 1,427 | 1,529 | 57 | 3,013 | 47.4% | 50.7% | R+3.4 |
| Precinct 090402300909040 | 1,411 | 646 | 62 | 2,119 | 66.6% | 30.5% | D+36.1 |
| Precinct 092202300909220 | 770 | 787 | 33 | 1,590 | 48.4% | 49.5% | R+1.1 |
| Precinct 091702300909170 | 702 | 818 | 29 | 1,549 | 45.3% | 52.8% | R+7.5 |
| Precinct 092102300909210 | 1,050 | 346 | 42 | 1,438 | 73.0% | 24.1% | D+49.0 |
| Precinct 091102300909110 | 788 | 554 | 29 | 1,371 | 57.5% | 40.4% | D+17.1 |
| Precinct 091802300909180 | 643 | 583 | 31 | 1,257 | 51.2% | 46.4% | D+4.8 |
| Precinct 091002300909100 | 588 | 618 | 24 | 1,230 | 47.8% | 50.2% | R+2.4 |
| Precinct 093102300909310 | 635 | 527 | 32 | 1,194 | 53.2% | 44.1% | D+9.0 |
| Precinct 091502300909150 | 522 | 646 | 17 | 1,185 | 44.1% | 54.5% | R+10.5 |
| Precinct 092802300909280 | 760 | 386 | 21 | 1,167 | 65.1% | 33.1% | D+32.0 |
| Precinct 093402300909340 | 526 | 482 | 36 | 1,044 | 50.4% | 46.2% | D+4.2 |
| Precinct 091402300909140 | 429 | 553 | 20 | 1,002 | 42.8% | 55.2% | R+12.4 |
| Precinct 092602300909260 | 554 | 321 | 20 | 895 | 61.9% | 35.9% | D+26.0 |
| Precinct 092502300909250 | 502 | 335 | 28 | 865 | 58.0% | 38.7% | D+19.3 |
| Precinct 093002300909300 | 373 | 403 | 13 | 789 | 47.3% | 51.1% | R+3.8 |
| Precinct 090602300909060 | 450 | 226 | 27 | 703 | 64.0% | 32.1% | D+31.9 |
| Precinct 090502300909050 | 457 | 185 | 23 | 665 | 68.7% | 27.8% | D+40.9 |
| Precinct 092902300909290 | 394 | 250 | 13 | 657 | 60.0% | 38.1% | D+21.9 |
| Precinct 090802300909080 | 404 | 141 | 19 | 564 | 71.6% | 25.0% | D+46.6 |
| Precinct 092402300909240 | 165 | 350 | 2 | 517 | 31.9% | 67.7% | R+35.8 |
| Precinct 093502300909350 | 162 | 204 | 7 | 373 | 43.4% | 54.7% | R+11.3 |
| Precinct 092002300909200 | 139 | 207 | 3 | 349 | 39.8% | 59.3% | R+19.5 |
| Precinct 093702300909370 | 150 | 181 | 4 | 335 | 44.8% | 54.0% | R+9.3 |
| Precinct 093202300909320 | 136 | 153 | 8 | 297 | 45.8% | 51.5% | R+5.7 |
| Precinct 093602300909360 | 66 | 194 | 3 | 263 | 25.1% | 73.8% | R+48.7 |
| Precinct 091202300909120 | 92 | 167 | 2 | 261 | 35.2% | 64.0% | R+28.7 |
| Precinct 090102300909010 | 73 | 135 | 4 | 212 | 34.4% | 63.7% | R+29.2 |
| Precinct 092702300909270 | 91 | 111 | 3 | 205 | 44.4% | 54.1% | R+9.8 |
| Precinct 090902300909090 | 91 | 36 | 7 | 134 | 67.9% | 26.9% | D+41.0 |
| Precinct 090202300909020 | 26 | 48 | 2 | 76 | 34.2% | 63.2% | R+28.9 |
| Precinct 092302300909230 | 11 | 36 | 1 | 48 | 22.9% | 75.0% | R+52.1 |
| Precinct 091602300909160 | 16 | 27 | 1 | 44 | 36.4% | 61.4% | R+25.0 |
| Precinct 091902300909190 | 11 | 20 | 0 | 31 | 35.5% | 64.5% | R+29.0 |
| Precinct 093302300909330 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −10.9% |
| 1896 | −40.1% |
| 1900 | −29.2% |
| 1904 | −36.6% |
| 1908 | −25.7% |
| 1912 | +20.4% |
| 1916 | +1.7% |
| 1920 | −44.1% |
| 1924 | −57.7% |
| 1928 | −64.0% |
| 1932 | −28.8% |
| 1936 | −46.0% |
| 1940 | −32.8% |
| 1944 | −37.5% |
| 1948 | −56.5% |
| 1952 | −66.6% |
| 1956 | −73.8% |
| 1960 | −56.6% |
| 1964 | +8.1% |
| 1968 | −27.8% |
| 1972 | −47.9% |
| 1976 | −27.2% |
| 1980 | −20.7% |
| 1984 | −30.6% |
| 1988 | −13.1% |
| 1992 | +5.1% |
| 1996 | +14.8% |
| 2000 | +0.9% |
| 2004 | +11.0% |
| 2008 | +19.3% |
| 2012 | +17.0% |
| 2016 | +7.5% |
| 2020 | +12.3% |
| 2024 | +11.8% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 59.8%21,311 | 40.2%14,346 | 35,657 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 6.8 points more Republican.
45,296 registered voters · 2025
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+174 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +3,878 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $82,078 in average income, against $78,466 for residents who stayed — 5% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+4.0 on average — 16 points more Republican-leaning than Hancock County, ME itself (D+11.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Penobscot County, ME254R+10.9
- Waldo County, ME62D+3.4
- Washington County, ME59R+23.5
- Cumberland County, ME58D+35.3
- York County, ME43D+10.5
- Kennebec County, ME31R+2.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Penobscot County, ME294
- Cumberland County, ME77
- Washington County, ME63
- Waldo County, ME61
- York County, ME29
- Knox County, ME27
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +182 |
| 2012 | +14 |
| 2013 | +103 |
| 2014 | −51 |
| 2015 | −151 |
| 2016 | +285 |
| 2017 | +192 |
| 2018 | +356 |
| 2019 | +432 |
| 2021 | +1,209 |
| 2022 | +549 |
| 2023 | +289 |
| 2024 | +295 |
| 2025 | +174 |
Hancock County's mix of summer resort towns like Bar Harbor and working fishing communities along Penobscot Bay produces a Democratic lean that has held consistently, with Biden and Harris both carrying it by double digits in recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 20.4 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 73.8 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 11.8 points.
A population of 56,460, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,744 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Waldo County and Lincoln County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Hancock County, Maine. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/23009/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.