- Lead
- 1,585
- Total
- 6,328
- vs nation
- D+26.5
Maine 16th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 1,503
- Total
- 6,075
- vs nation
- D+20.3
- Lead
- 1,049
- Total
- 5,552
- vs nation
- D+16.8
- Lead
- 1,532
- Total
- 5,370
- vs nation
- D+24.7
- Lead
- 1,735
- Total
- 5,641
- vs nation
- D+23.5
- Lead
- 1,306
- Total
- 5,734
- vs nation
- D+25.2
- Lead
- 587
- Total
- 4,903
- vs nation
- D+11.5
- Lead
- 1,111
- Total
- 4,571
- vs nation
- D+15.8
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+25.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 9,4652024 5-year
- Population density
- 52 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 184 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $75,1732024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+30.8 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+67.9 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 14, ME · twin score 97.8
presidential history
Party record book
Maine 16th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
64.5%
3,640 votes · D+30.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 63.1%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
84.0%
1,696 votes · R+67.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 79.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
3,862votes
61.0% of the vote · D+25.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 3,716 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
2,277votes
36.0% of the vote · D+25.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 2,213 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+26.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+25.0 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · +25.2 pts
Republican
Alf Landon1936
+60.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+36.0 · U.S. D+24.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1948 · +53.4 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 59.8%3,573 | 40.2%2,405 | 5,978 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+25.1, this Portland-area district ranks among the most Democratic in the state, reflecting the dense urban concentration that drives Maine's legislative map toward sharp geographic polarization.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 30.8 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 67.9 points in 1956. The 2024 margin was 25.0 points.
A population of 9,465, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $75,173 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 14 and State House District 15.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Maine 16th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/23016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.