- Lead
- 623
- Total
- 5,646
- vs nation
- R+9.6
Maine 12th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 518
- Total
- 5,341
- vs nation
- R+14.2
- Lead
- 652
- Total
- 4,869
- vs nation
- R+15.5
- Lead
- 176
- Total
- 4,540
- vs nation
- R+7.7
- Lead
- 90
- Total
- 4,737
- vs nation
- R+9.2
- Lead
- 483
- Total
- 4,961
- vs nation
- R+7.3
- Lead
- 756
- Total
- 4,418
- vs nation
- R+17.6
- Lead
- 4
- Total
- 4,046
- vs nation
- R+8.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+11.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 8,8242024 5-year
- Population density
- 44 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 201 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $70,2182024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+7.8 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+78.8 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 17, ME · twin score 97.5
presidential history
Party record book
Maine 12th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
48.0%
2,273 votes · R+1.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 47.6%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
89.4%
2,146 votes · R+78.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 85.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
2,464votes
43.6% of the vote · R+11.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 2,347 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
3,087votes
54.7% of the vote · R+11.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 2,865 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
−7.3pts D vs U.S.
Place R+9.7 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · −7.7 pts
Republican
Alf Landon1936
+71.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+47.4 · U.S. D+24.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1948 · +66.7 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 57.8%3,180 | 42.2%2,318 | 5,498 |
With fewer than 9,000 residents, this sparsely populated district backed the 2024 Republican presidential ticket by 11 points, reflecting the rightward shift seen across much of rural, non-coastal Maine over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 7.8 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 78.8 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 11.0 points.
A population of 8,824, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,218 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 17 and State House District 45.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Maine 12th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/23012/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.