HarrisDemocratic43.6%37,945TrumpRepublican54.5%47,438SteinIndependent0.9%801
R+10.9- Lead
- 9,493
- Total
- 87,073
- vs nation
- R+9.4
- Turnout
- 72.3%
Akashiccounty
Penobscot County, ME
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 72.3% of 125,180 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic43.8%37,713TrumpRepublican52.0%44,825JorgensenLibertarian2.2%1,865
R+8.3- Lead
- 7,112
- Total
- 86,133
- vs nation
- R+12.7
- Turnout
- 72.2%
ClintonDemocratic40.8%32,838TrumpRepublican51.7%41,622JohnsonLibertarian5.5%4,401
R+10.9- Lead
- 8,784
- Total
- 80,540
- vs nation
- R+13.0
- Turnout
- 69.2%
ObamaDemocratic50.2%38,811RomneyRepublican47.3%36,547OtherAll other candidates2.5%1,948
D+2.9- Lead
- 2,264
- Total
- 77,306
- vs nation
- R+0.9
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic51.7%41,514McCainRepublican46.7%37,495OtherAll other candidates1.7%1,358
D+5.0- Lead
- 4,019
- Total
- 80,367
- vs nation
- R+2.3
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic49.2%40,417BushRepublican49.1%40,318OtherAll other candidates1.7%1,377
D+0.1- Lead
- 99
- Total
- 82,112
- vs nation
- D+2.6
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic44.9%32,868BushRepublican48.7%35,620NaderGreen5.2%3,772
R+3.8- Lead
- 2,752
- Total
- 73,206
- vs nation
- R+4.3
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic51.0%35,961DoleRepublican32.5%22,885PerotReform13.7%9,673
D+18.5- Lead
- 13,076
- Total
- 70,517
- vs nation
- D+10.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+10.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 154,7102024 5-year
- Median household income
- $66,3562024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+33.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57.0 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Kennebec County, ME · twin score 95.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 72.3%90,447 participants ÷ 125,180 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.8 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- +0.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 57.5%–58.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 84,722 | 122,346 | 69.2% | B/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 67,660 | 121,775 | 55.6% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 88,197 | 122,200 | 72.2% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 70,821 | 123,352 | 57.4% | B/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 90,447 | 125,180 | 72.3% | B/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 292/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 296/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 300/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 305/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 310/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
61 precincts · 87,073 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 190202301919020 | 9,355 | 6,261 | 380 | 15,996 | 58.5% | 39.1% | D+19.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 194902301919490 | 3,685 | 1,535 | 200 | 5,420 | 68.0% | 28.3% | D+39.7 |
| Precinct 190502301919050 | 2,556 | 2,636 | 118 | 5,310 | 48.1% | 49.6% | R+1.5 |
| Precinct 192802301919280 | 2,528 | 2,477 | 109 | 5,114 | 49.4% | 48.4% | D+1.0 |
| Precinct 194802301919480 | 2,273 | 1,759 | 109 | 4,141 | 54.9% | 42.5% | D+12.4 |
| Precinct 192902301919290 | 1,526 | 2,550 | 59 | 4,135 | 36.9% | 61.7% | R+24.8 |
| Precinct 192402301919240 | 1,122 | 1,710 | 54 | 2,886 | 38.9% | 59.3% | R+20.4 |
| Precinct 193802301919380 | 842 | 1,941 | 36 | 2,819 | 29.9% | 68.9% | R+39.0 |
| Precinct 195002301919500 | 1,125 | 1,501 | 37 | 2,663 | 42.2% | 56.4% | R+14.1 |
| Precinct 194402301919440 | 1,128 | 1,496 | 31 | 2,655 | 42.5% | 56.3% | R+13.9 |
| Precinct 193002301919300 | 920 | 1,175 | 38 | 2,133 | 43.1% | 55.1% | R+12.0 |
| Precinct 191402301919140 | 695 | 1,281 | 33 | 2,009 | 34.6% | 63.8% | R+29.2 |
| Precinct 194302301919430 | 847 | 1,006 | 38 | 1,891 | 44.8% | 53.2% | R+8.4 |
| Precinct 194702301919470 | 606 | 1,237 | 22 | 1,865 | 32.5% | 66.3% | R+33.8 |
| Precinct 190702301919070 | 581 | 1,244 | 19 | 1,844 | 31.5% | 67.5% | R+36.0 |
| Precinct 193702301919370 | 496 | 1,236 | 30 | 1,762 | 28.1% | 70.1% | R+42.0 |
| Precinct 191302301919130 | 374 | 1,211 | 15 | 1,600 | 23.4% | 75.7% | R+52.3 |
| Precinct 191802301919180 | 521 | 947 | 24 | 1,492 | 34.9% | 63.5% | R+28.6 |
| Precinct 191202301919120 | 331 | 889 | 14 | 1,234 | 26.8% | 72.0% | R+45.2 |
| Precinct 195902301919590 | 674 | 487 | 23 | 1,184 | 56.9% | 41.1% | D+15.8 |
| Precinct 194602301919460 | 391 | 645 | 23 | 1,059 | 36.9% | 60.9% | R+24.0 |
| Precinct 190402301919040 | 384 | 555 | 15 | 954 | 40.3% | 58.2% | R+17.9 |
| Precinct 191702301919170 | 344 | 561 | 12 | 917 | 37.5% | 61.2% | R+23.7 |
| Precinct 192002301919200 | 255 | 637 | 12 | 904 | 28.2% | 70.5% | R+42.3 |
| Precinct 193202301919320 | 256 | 610 | 9 | 875 | 29.3% | 69.7% | R+40.5 |
| Precinct 195802301919580 | 234 | 562 | 13 | 809 | 28.9% | 69.5% | R+40.5 |
| Precinct 193302301919330 | 226 | 565 | 15 | 806 | 28.0% | 70.1% | R+42.1 |
| Precinct 190902301919090 | 181 | 601 | 16 | 798 | 22.7% | 75.3% | R+52.6 |
| Precinct 195302301919530 | 217 | 556 | 11 | 784 | 27.7% | 70.9% | R+43.2 |
| Precinct 191502301919150 | 267 | 478 | 12 | 757 | 35.3% | 63.1% | R+27.9 |
| Precinct 194202301919420 | 190 | 545 | 12 | 747 | 25.4% | 73.0% | R+47.5 |
| Precinct 192602301919260 | 204 | 528 | 9 | 741 | 27.5% | 71.3% | R+43.7 |
| Precinct 192102301919210 | 204 | 517 | 9 | 730 | 27.9% | 70.8% | R+42.9 |
| Precinct 190302301919030 | 182 | 520 | 15 | 717 | 25.4% | 72.5% | R+47.1 |
| Precinct 193102301919310 | 242 | 431 | 11 | 684 | 35.4% | 63.0% | R+27.6 |
| Precinct 192302301919230 | 175 | 455 | 11 | 641 | 27.3% | 71.0% | R+43.7 |
| Precinct 192202301919220 | 159 | 394 | 5 | 558 | 28.5% | 70.6% | R+42.1 |
| Precinct 193602301919360 | 137 | 403 | 7 | 547 | 25.0% | 73.7% | R+48.6 |
| Precinct 191102301919110 | 202 | 332 | 8 | 542 | 37.3% | 61.3% | R+24.0 |
| Precinct 190102301919010 | 188 | 341 | 11 | 540 | 34.8% | 63.1% | R+28.3 |
| Precinct 195202301919520 | 138 | 365 | 6 | 509 | 27.1% | 71.7% | R+44.6 |
| Precinct 194002301919400 | 128 | 289 | 10 | 427 | 30.0% | 67.7% | R+37.7 |
| Precinct 193402301919340 | 97 | 254 | 7 | 358 | 27.1% | 70.9% | R+43.9 |
| Precinct 196302301919630 | 242 | 62 | 11 | 315 | 76.8% | 19.7% | D+57.1 |
| Precinct 191002301919100 | 57 | 254 | 2 | 313 | 18.2% | 81.2% | R+62.9 |
| Precinct 193902301919390 | 68 | 198 | 3 | 269 | 25.3% | 73.6% | R+48.3 |
| Precinct 190602301919060 | 59 | 186 | 2 | 247 | 23.9% | 75.3% | R+51.4 |
| Precinct 195102301919510 | 54 | 181 | 4 | 239 | 22.6% | 75.7% | R+53.1 |
| Precinct 196102301919610 | 52 | 159 | 1 | 212 | 24.5% | 75.0% | R+50.5 |
| Precinct 195602301919560 | 33 | 151 | 3 | 187 | 17.6% | 80.7% | R+63.1 |
| Precinct 194502301919450 | 50 | 100 | 5 | 155 | 32.3% | 64.5% | R+32.3 |
| Precinct 196202301919620 | 22 | 126 | 5 | 153 | 14.4% | 82.4% | R+68.0 |
| Precinct 191902301919190 | 29 | 70 | 1 | 100 | 29.0% | 70.0% | R+41.0 |
| Precinct 190802301919080 | 15 | 69 | 2 | 86 | 17.4% | 80.2% | R+62.8 |
| Precinct 193502301919350 | 37 | 43 | 1 | 81 | 45.7% | 53.1% | R+7.4 |
| Precinct 194102301919410 | 17 | 56 | 1 | 74 | 23.0% | 75.7% | R+52.7 |
| Precinct 196002301919600 | 8 | 34 | 1 | 43 | 18.6% | 79.1% | R+60.5 |
| Precinct 195502301919550 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 26 | 50.0% | 50.0% | Exact tie |
| Precinct 191602301919160 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 16 | 18.8% | 81.3% | R+62.5 |
| Precinct 000002301900000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 195702301919570 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −17.4% |
| 1896 | −34.6% |
| 1900 | −30.3% |
| 1904 | −50.3% |
| 1908 | −34.3% |
| 1912 | +12.3% |
| 1916 | −0.2% |
| 1920 | −39.4% |
| 1924 | −57.0% |
| 1928 | −40.8% |
| 1932 | −18.3% |
| 1936 | −29.8% |
| 1940 | −11.7% |
| 1944 | −12.0% |
| 1948 | −20.7% |
| 1952 | −37.3% |
| 1956 | −52.9% |
| 1960 | −19.5% |
| 1964 | +33.1% |
| 1968 | +9.6% |
| 1972 | −23.9% |
| 1976 | −7.8% |
| 1980 | −3.7% |
| 1984 | −24.5% |
| 1988 | −10.2% |
| 1992 | +6.5% |
| 1996 | +18.5% |
| 2000 | −3.8% |
| 2004 | +0.1% |
| 2008 | +5.0% |
| 2012 | +2.9% |
| 2016 | −10.9% |
| 2020 | −8.3% |
| 2024 | −10.9% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 37 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 48.7%41,619 | 51.3%43,858 | 85,477 |
| 2020 | D | 51.4%43,445 | 48.6%41,093 | 84,538 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2025R+8.0
Presidential vote · 2024R+10.9
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 2.9 points.
110,103 registered voters · 2025
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+993 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +5,465 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $53,860 in average income, against $72,970 for residents who stayed — 26% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+1.0 on average — 9.9 points more Democratic-leaning than Penobscot County, ME itself (R+10.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Hancock County, ME294D+11.8
- Waldo County, ME208D+3.4
- Somerset County, ME190R+27.0
- Cumberland County, ME181D+35.3
- Kennebec County, ME171R+2.7
- Aroostook County, ME164R+26.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Hancock County, ME254
- Cumberland County, ME241
- Somerset County, ME189
- Kennebec County, ME187
- Waldo County, ME184
- Aroostook County, ME139
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −211 |
| 2012 | −436 |
| 2013 | −89 |
| 2014 | −179 |
| 2015 | −1,137 |
| 2016 | −606 |
| 2017 | +506 |
| 2018 | +305 |
| 2019 | +491 |
| 2021 | +1,706 |
| 2022 | +1,906 |
| 2023 | +1,693 |
| 2024 | +523 |
| 2025 | +993 |
Penobscot, anchored by Bangor, was a presidential battleground as recently as 2012 but has moved double digits toward Republicans over the past decade, reflecting broader realignment among rural and working-class voters across northern New England.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 33.1 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 57.0 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 10.9 points.
A population of 154,710, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,356 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Kennebec County and Sullivan County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Kennebec County
Maine
95.5twin score
French ancestry2004–2024 trajectory
Sullivan County
New Hampshire
92.4twin score
French ancestry2004–2012 trajectory% unaffiliated
York County
Maine
91.1twin score
French ancestry2004–2012 trajectory% Evangelical≠ median income
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Penobscot County, Maine. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/23019/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Penobscot County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Penobscot County, Maine vote in 2024?
In 2024, Penobscot County, Maine voted Republican by 10.9 points (R+10.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 87,073 votes cast, 37,945 went Democratic and 47,438 went Republican.
When did Penobscot County, Maine last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Penobscot County, Maine voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Penobscot County, Maine?
Penobscot County, Maine has a population of 154,710 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Penobscot County, Maine?
Median household income in Penobscot County, Maine is $66,356 — below the national median of $80,734. The Maine state median is $74,733.
What is the political history of Penobscot County, Maine?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Penobscot County, Maine from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 26 went Republican.