HarrisDemocratic32.1%7,697TrumpRepublican66.2%15,884OtherAll other candidates1.8%425
R+34.1- Lead
- 8,187
- Total
- 24,006
- vs nation
- R+32.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate senate district
Maine 4th State Senate District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic32.8%7,567TrumpRepublican64.7%14,912OtherAll other candidates2.5%568
R+31.9- Lead
- 7,345
- Total
- 23,047
- vs nation
- R+36.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic31.4%6,776TrumpRepublican61.6%13,300OtherAll other candidates7.1%1,532
R+30.2- Lead
- 6,524
- Total
- 21,608
- vs nation
- R+32.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic41.5%8,503RomneyRepublican56.2%11,507OtherAll other candidates2.3%468
R+14.7- Lead
- 3,004
- Total
- 20,478
- vs nation
- R+18.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic42.4%9,028McCainRepublican55.8%11,892OtherAll other candidates1.8%385
R+13.4- Lead
- 2,864
- Total
- 21,305
- vs nation
- R+20.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic40.0%8,901BushRepublican58.2%12,943OtherAll other candidates1.8%400
R+18.2- Lead
- 4,042
- Total
- 22,244
- vs nation
- R+15.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic36.5%7,427BushRepublican57.0%11,606OtherAll other candidates6.6%1,335
R+20.5- Lead
- 4,179
- Total
- 20,368
- vs nation
- R+21.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic44.1%8,317DoleRepublican37.9%7,144OtherAll other candidates18.0%3,397
D+6.2- Lead
- 1,173
- Total
- 18,858
- vs nation
- R+2.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+34.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 40,6542024 5-year
- Population density
- 9.4 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 4,345 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $65,3192024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+21.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+63.7 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 2, ME · twin score 95.2
presidential history
Party record book
Maine 4th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
60.6%
8,005 votes · D+21.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · 48.2%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
80.9%
10,595 votes · R+61.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 79.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
9,028votes
42.4% of the vote · R+13.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 8,901 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
15,884votes
66.2% of the vote · R+34.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 14,912 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
−1.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+21.2 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · −2.3 pts
Republican
Alf Landon1936
+53.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+28.9 · U.S. D+24.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1932 · +46.5 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RStacey GuerinState Senate · 4
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 45.2%10,383 | 54.8%12,574 | 22,957 |
| 2020 | D | 50.9%7,275 | 49.1%7,013 | 14,288 |
Covering a largely rural stretch of western Maine, this district backed the Republican presidential nominee by nearly 23 points in 2024, making it one of the state's widest margins at the legislative level.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 21.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 63.7 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 34.1 points.
A population of 40,654, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,319 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 2 and State Senate District 19.
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State Senate District 2
Maine
95.2twin score
2016–2024 trajectorymedian age
State Senate District 19
Maine
95.0twin score
% unaffiliatedmedian age% White
State Senate District 6
Maine
93.0twin score
% unaffiliatedmedian agepopulation scale≠ French ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Maine 4th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/23004/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Maine at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Maine 4th State Senate District
counties it covers2
Frequently asked questions
How did Maine 4th State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Maine 4th State Senate District voted Republican by 34.1 points (R+34.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 24,006 votes cast, 7,697 went Democratic and 15,884 went Republican.
When did Maine 4th State Senate District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Maine 4th State Senate District voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Maine 4th State Senate District?
Maine 4th State Senate District has a population of 40,654 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Maine 4th State Senate District?
Median household income in Maine 4th State Senate District is $65,319 — below the national median of $80,734. The Maine state median is $74,733.
What is the political history of Maine 4th State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Maine 4th State Senate District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 35 went Republican.