- Lead
- 167
- Total
- 25,221
- vs nation
- D+0.8
- Turnout
- 71.0%
Sullivan County, NH
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 71.0% of 35,737 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 882
- Total
- 24,444
- vs nation
- R+0.8
- Turnout
- 70.8%
- Lead
- 586
- Total
- 22,683
- vs nation
- R+4.7
- Turnout
- 67.0%
- Lead
- 2,897
- Total
- 21,837
- vs nation
- D+9.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,080
- Total
- 22,614
- vs nation
- D+10.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,292
- Total
- 21,804
- vs nation
- D+8.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,080
- Total
- 18,668
- vs nation
- R+6.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,556
- Total
- 17,260
- vs nation
- D+0.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+0.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 43,7152024 5-year
- Median household income
- $80,8582024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+37.7 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49.0 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Cheshire County, NH · twin score 94.7
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 71.0%25,380 participants ÷ 35,737 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -3.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 55.1%–55.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 22,992 | 34,330 | 67.0% | B/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 17,504 | 34,545 | 50.7% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 24,632 | 34,814 | 70.8% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 19,572 | 35,436 | 55.2% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 25,380 | 35,737 | 71.0% | B/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 292/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 296/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 300/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 310/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
32 precincts · 25,213 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -019-Claremont019-Claremont | 2,855 | 3,049 | 78 | 5,982 | 47.7% | 51.0% | R+3.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -019-Newport019-Newport | 1,305 | 1,963 | 57 | 3,325 | 39.2% | 59.0% | R+19.8 |
| Precinct -019-Charlestown019-Charlestown | 1,126 | 1,362 | 42 | 2,530 | 44.5% | 53.8% | R+9.3 |
| Precinct -019-Sunapee019-Sunapee | 1,322 | 1,126 | 66 | 2,514 | 52.6% | 44.8% | D+7.8 |
| Precinct -019-Grantham019-Grantham | 1,660 | 768 | 38 | 2,466 | 67.3% | 31.1% | D+36.2 |
| Precinct -019-Plainfield019-Plainfield | 1,155 | 521 | 24 | 1,700 | 67.9% | 30.6% | D+37.3 |
| Precinct -019-Cornish019-Cornish | 660 | 466 | 16 | 1,142 | 57.8% | 40.8% | D+17.0 |
| Precinct -019-Springfield019-Springfield | 444 | 479 | 0 | 923 | 48.1% | 51.9% | R+3.8 |
| Precinct -019-Unity019-Unity | 304 | 583 | 23 | 910 | 33.4% | 64.1% | R+30.7 |
| Precinct -019-Washington019-Washington | 351 | 515 | 20 | 886 | 39.6% | 58.1% | R+18.5 |
| Precinct -019-Lempster019-Lempster | 318 | 435 | 10 | 763 | 41.7% | 57.0% | R+15.3 |
| Precinct -019-Acworth019-Acworth | 281 | 300 | 11 | 592 | 47.5% | 50.7% | R+3.2 |
| Precinct -019-Croydon019-Croydon | 179 | 381 | 17 | 577 | 31.0% | 66.0% | R+35.0 |
| Precinct -019-Goshen019-Goshen | 162 | 309 | 6 | 477 | 34.0% | 64.8% | R+30.8 |
| Precinct -019-Langdon019-Langdon | 195 | 227 | 4 | 426 | 45.8% | 53.3% | R+7.5 |
| CLAREMONT WARD 133_33019CLAR01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CLAREMONT WARD 233_33019CLAR02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CLAREMONT WARD 333_33019CLAR03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF ACWORTH Voting District33_33019ACWO01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF CHARLESTOWN Voting District33_33019CHAR01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF CORNISH Voting District33_33019CORN01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF CROYDON Voting District33_33019CROY01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF GOSHEN Voting District33_33019GOSH01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF GRANTHAM Voting District33_33019GRAN01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF LANGDON Voting District33_33019LANG01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF LEMPSTER Voting District33_33019LEMP01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF NEWPORT Voting District33_33019NEWP01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF PLAINFIELD Voting District33_33019PLFD01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF SPRINGFIELD Voting District33_33019SPRI01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF SUNAPEE Voting District33_33019SUNA01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF UNITY Voting District33_33019UNIT01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF WASHINGTON Voting District33_33019WASH01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −9.1% |
| 1896 | −49.0% |
| 1900 | −24.5% |
| 1904 | −30.7% |
| 1908 | −29.5% |
| 1912 | −3.6% |
| 1916 | +0.5% |
| 1920 | −29.4% |
| 1924 | −38.3% |
| 1928 | −23.6% |
| 1932 | −8.2% |
| 1936 | −2.2% |
| 1940 | +2.5% |
| 1944 | +0.3% |
| 1948 | −12.1% |
| 1952 | −27.4% |
| 1956 | −32.9% |
| 1960 | −4.7% |
| 1964 | +37.7% |
| 1968 | −2.2% |
| 1972 | −17.3% |
| 1976 | −2.7% |
| 1980 | −18.3% |
| 1984 | −29.9% |
| 1988 | −16.1% |
| 1992 | +9.0% |
| 1996 | +9.0% |
| 2000 | −5.8% |
| 2004 | +5.9% |
| 2008 | +18.0% |
| 2012 | +13.3% |
| 2016 | −2.6% |
| 2020 | +3.6% |
| 2024 | −0.7% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 5.2 points more Republican.
29,182 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+232 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +1,328 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $97,694 in average income, against $95,031 for residents who stayed — 3% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+18.5 on average — 19 points more Democratic-leaning than Sullivan County, NH itself (R+0.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Grafton County, NH178D+19.8
- Merrimack County, NH121D+5.2
- Windsor County, VT115D+35.3
- Hillsborough County, NH107D+2.9
- Cheshire County, NH70D+9.9
- Middlesex County, MA51D+39.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Grafton County, NH124
- Windsor County, VT107
- Merrimack County, NH100
- Hillsborough County, NH69
- Cheshire County, NH67
- Middlesex County, MA30
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −268 |
| 2012 | −334 |
| 2013 | −108 |
| 2014 | +114 |
| 2015 | +9 |
| 2016 | −12 |
| 2017 | +39 |
| 2018 | +130 |
| 2019 | +77 |
| 2021 | +711 |
| 2022 | +405 |
| 2023 | +235 |
| 2024 | +98 |
| 2025 | +232 |
Sullivan County's 2024 presidential margin of R+0.7 makes it a genuine bellwether in a state already defined by razor-thin statewide results. Its mix of small mill towns and rural hill communities produces an electorate that resists easy categorization.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 37.7 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 49.0 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 0.7 points.
A population of 43,715, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $80,858 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cheshire County and Orange County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Sullivan County, New Hampshire. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/33019/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.