- Lead
- 892
- Total
- 2,472
- vs nation
- D+37.6
New Hampshire State House District Sullivan 1
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 922
- Total
- 2,447
- vs nation
- D+33.2
- Lead
- 566
- Total
- 2,096
- vs nation
- D+24.9
- Lead
- 612
- Total
- 1,964
- vs nation
- D+27.3
- Lead
- 732
- Total
- 2,067
- vs nation
- D+28.1
- Lead
- 212
- Total
- 1,793
- vs nation
- D+14.3
- Lead
- 2
- Total
- 1,527
- vs nation
- R+0.4
- Lead
- 205
- Total
- 1,430
- vs nation
- D+5.8
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+36.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 3,4042024 5-year
- Population density
- 125 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 27.2 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $106,4032024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+43.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+46.3 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 135, ME · twin score 96.1
presidential history
Party record book
New Hampshire State House District Sullivan 1 · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
71.5%
765 votes · D+43.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 68.2%
Republican
William McKinley1896
70.0%
215 votes · R+46.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 64.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
1,669votes
68.2% of the vote · D+37.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 1,660 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
781votes
43.6% of the vote · D+11.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 768 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+37.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+36.1 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +33.2 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+40.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+46.3 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1932 · +19.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a population of roughly 3,400 concentrated in Claremont, this compact Sullivan County district delivered a 36-point Democratic margin in 2024, an outlier in a state that otherwise split closely at the federal level.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 43.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 46.3 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 36.1 points.
A population of 3,404, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $106,403 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 135 and State House District Merrimack 07.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New Hampshire State House District Sullivan 1. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/33901/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.