- Lead
- 5,296
- Total
- 40,676
- vs nation
- R+11.5
- Turnout
- 77.2%
Belknap County, NH
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 77.2% of 52,981 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 4,005
- Total
- 38,479
- vs nation
- R+14.9
- Turnout
- 79.2%
- Lead
- 5,798
- Total
- 35,045
- vs nation
- R+18.6
- Turnout
- 74.0%
- Lead
- 1,681
- Total
- 33,887
- vs nation
- R+8.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 394
- Total
- 33,465
- vs nation
- R+6.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,840
- Total
- 32,298
- vs nation
- R+9.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,080
- Total
- 26,795
- vs nation
- R+15.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 340
- Total
- 23,616
- vs nation
- R+10.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+13.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 64,6592024 5-year
- Median household income
- $92,7832024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+15.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+52.2 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Carroll County, NH · twin score 91.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 77.2%40,915 participants ÷ 52,981 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +18.9 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -0.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 58.4%–58.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 35,705 | 48,219 | 74.0% | B/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 27,264 | 48,694 | 56.0% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 39,088 | 49,323 | 79.2% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 31,334 | 51,879 | 60.4% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 40,915 | 52,981 | 77.2% | B/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 292/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 296/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 300/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 310/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
27 precincts · 40,676 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -001-Laconia001-Laconia | 4,321 | 5,104 | 103 | 9,528 | 45.4% | 53.6% | R+8.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -001-Gilford001-Gilford | 2,473 | 2,751 | 63 | 5,287 | 46.8% | 52.0% | R+5.3 |
| Precinct -001-Meredith001-Meredith | 2,242 | 2,355 | 50 | 4,647 | 48.2% | 50.7% | R+2.4 |
| Precinct -001-Belmont001-Belmont | 1,634 | 2,626 | 64 | 4,324 | 37.8% | 60.7% | R+22.9 |
| Precinct -001-Alton001-Alton | 1,553 | 2,645 | 26 | 4,224 | 36.8% | 62.6% | R+25.9 |
| Precinct -001-Barnstead001-Barnstead | 1,208 | 1,893 | 37 | 3,138 | 38.5% | 60.3% | R+21.8 |
| Precinct -001-Gilmanton001-Gilmanton | 1,035 | 1,611 | 15 | 2,661 | 38.9% | 60.5% | R+21.6 |
| Precinct -001-Tilton001-Tilton | 982 | 1,231 | 33 | 2,246 | 43.7% | 54.8% | R+11.1 |
| Precinct -001-Sanbornton001-Sanbornton | 883 | 1,232 | 24 | 2,139 | 41.3% | 57.6% | R+16.3 |
| Precinct -001-New Hampton001-New Hampton | 748 | 898 | 22 | 1,668 | 44.8% | 53.8% | R+9.0 |
| Precinct -001-Center Harbor001-Center Harbor | 390 | 419 | 5 | 814 | 47.9% | 51.5% | R+3.6 |
| LACONIA WARD 133_33001LACO01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LACONIA WARD 233_33001LACO02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LACONIA WARD 333_33001LACO03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LACONIA WARD 433_33001LACO04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LACONIA WARD 533_33001LACO05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LACONIA WARD 633_33001LACO06 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF ALTON Voting District33_33001ALTO01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF BARNSTEAD Voting District33_33001BARN01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF BELMONT Voting District33_33001BELM01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF CENTER HARBOR Voting District33_33001CENT01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF GILFORD Voting District33_33001GILF01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF GILMANTON Voting District33_33001GILM01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF MEREDITH Voting District33_33001MERE01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF NEW HAMPTON Voting District33_33001NEWH01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF SANBORNTON Voting District33_33001SANB01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF TILTON Voting District33_33001TILT01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −3.6% |
| 1896 | −52.2% |
| 1900 | −25.3% |
| 1904 | −23.3% |
| 1908 | −25.6% |
| 1912 | +2.6% |
| 1916 | −5.4% |
| 1920 | −23.7% |
| 1924 | −29.6% |
| 1928 | −29.4% |
| 1932 | −10.3% |
| 1936 | −9.3% |
| 1940 | −3.9% |
| 1944 | −7.5% |
| 1948 | −30.2% |
| 1952 | −43.6% |
| 1956 | −51.9% |
| 1960 | −23.8% |
| 1964 | +15.2% |
| 1968 | −26.3% |
| 1972 | −42.5% |
| 1976 | −23.0% |
| 1980 | −41.6% |
| 1984 | −49.7% |
| 1988 | −36.9% |
| 1992 | −8.7% |
| 1996 | −1.4% |
| 2000 | −15.2% |
| 2004 | −11.9% |
| 2008 | +1.2% |
| 2012 | −5.0% |
| 2016 | −16.5% |
| 2020 | −10.4% |
| 2024 | −13.0% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 6.9 points more Republican.
46,879 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+415 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +5,609 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $129,804 in average income, against $102,626 for residents who stayed — 26% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+11.7 on average — 25 points more Democratic-leaning than Belknap County, NH itself (R+13.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Merrimack County, NH396D+5.2
- Hillsborough County, NH248D+2.9
- Middlesex County, MA155D+39.2
- Grafton County, NH151D+19.8
- Rockingham County, NH146R+2.4
- Strafford County, NH132D+12.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Merrimack County, NH424
- Hillsborough County, NH204
- Grafton County, NH157
- Carroll County, NH137
- Strafford County, NH118
- Rockingham County, NH107
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +135 |
| 2012 | +137 |
| 2013 | −147 |
| 2014 | +143 |
| 2015 | +198 |
| 2016 | +491 |
| 2017 | +348 |
| 2018 | +498 |
| 2019 | +432 |
| 2021 | +1,201 |
| 2022 | +467 |
| 2023 | +738 |
| 2024 | +553 |
| 2025 | +415 |
Belknap County wraps around Lake Winnipesaukee, drawing seasonal tourism and retirees alongside working-class manufacturing towns. That mix has produced a consistent Republican lean in recent cycles, with the 2024 presidential margin reaching double digits.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 15.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 52.2 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 13.0 points.
A population of 64,659, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $92,783 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Carroll County and Merrimack County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Belknap County, New Hampshire. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/33001/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.