- Lead
- 213
- Total
- 5,846
- vs nation
- R+2.2
Maine 82nd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 51
- Total
- 5,465
- vs nation
- R+5.4
- Lead
- 364
- Total
- 4,924
- vs nation
- R+9.5
- Lead
- 964
- Total
- 4,593
- vs nation
- D+17.1
- Lead
- 1,084
- Total
- 5,027
- vs nation
- D+14.3
- Lead
- 687
- Total
- 5,051
- vs nation
- D+16.1
- Lead
- 523
- Total
- 4,346
- vs nation
- D+11.5
- Lead
- 1,224
- Total
- 4,120
- vs nation
- D+21.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+3.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 9,3132024 5-year
- Population density
- 43 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 215 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $62,2502024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+48.5 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+46.0 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District Cheshire 10, NH · twin score 95.9
presidential history
Party record book
Maine 82nd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
74.2%
2,292 votes · D+48.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · 60.0%
Republican
William McKinley1896
71.0%
719 votes · R+46.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 70.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
3,004votes
59.8% of the vote · D+21.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 2,820 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
2,977votes
50.9% of the vote · R+3.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 2,681 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+25.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+48.5 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · +22.1 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+40.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+46.0 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alf Landon, 1936 · +39.6 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 49.4%2,632 | 50.6%2,696 | 5,328 |
| 2020 | D | 53.3%2,782 | 46.7%2,433 | 5,215 |
With a population of roughly 9,300 and a 2024 presidential margin of R+3.6, Maine House District 82 sits in genuinely contested territory, making it a reliable bellwether for statewide swing dynamics.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 48.5 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 46.0 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 3.6 points.
A population of 9,313, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,250 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District Cheshire 10 and Essex-Caledonia State House District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Maine 82nd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/23082/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.