HarrisDemocratic47.8%1,138TrumpRepublican48.5%1,155OtherAll other candidates3.7%88
R+0.7- Lead
- 17
- Total
- 2,381
- vs nation
- D+0.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Vermont Essex-Caledonia State House District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic48.1%1,114TrumpRepublican48.9%1,132OtherAll other candidates3.0%69
R+0.8- Lead
- 18
- Total
- 2,315
- vs nation
- R+5.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic37.1%765TrumpRepublican48.3%996OtherAll other candidates14.5%299
R+11.2- Lead
- 231
- Total
- 2,060
- vs nation
- R+13.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic55.6%1,084RomneyRepublican41.0%799OtherAll other candidates3.4%66
D+14.6- Lead
- 285
- Total
- 1,949
- vs nation
- D+10.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic55.8%1,189McCainRepublican41.1%875OtherAll other candidates3.1%65
D+14.7- Lead
- 314
- Total
- 2,129
- vs nation
- D+7.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic45.4%924BushRepublican51.5%1,049OtherAll other candidates3.0%62
R+6.1- Lead
- 125
- Total
- 2,035
- vs nation
- R+3.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic39.5%795BushRepublican51.6%1,038OtherAll other candidates8.9%179
R+12.1- Lead
- 243
- Total
- 2,012
- vs nation
- R+12.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic43.5%775DoleRepublican33.1%589OtherAll other candidates23.5%418
D+10.4- Lead
- 186
- Total
- 1,782
- vs nation
- D+1.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+0.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,0732024 5-year
- Population density
- 11 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 379 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $65,2502024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+34.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57.5 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Essex-Orleans State House District, VT · twin score 98.7
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Essex-Caledonia State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
67.1%
1,014 votes · D+34.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 55.8%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
77.7%
492 votes · R+57.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 74.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
1,189votes
55.8% of the vote · D+14.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 1,138 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
1,155votes
48.5% of the vote · R+0.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 1,151 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+11.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+34.2 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +10.8 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+47.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+53.6 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alf Landon, 1936 · +40.6 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RJohn KascenskaState House · Essex-Caledonia
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Covering rural hill towns along Vermont's northeastern border, Essex-Caledonia swung within a single percentage point in 2024 presidential voting, signaling competitive pressure in a region long defined by low-density, resource-economy communities.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 34.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 57.5 points in 1904. The 2024 margin was 0.7 points.
A population of 4,073, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,250 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Essex-Orleans State House District and Orleans-4 State House District.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Essex-Orleans State House District
Vermont
98.7twin score
elasticity12-yr trendpopulation scale
Orleans-4 State House District
Vermont
96.0twin score
elasticity12-yr trendpopulation scale≠ Scottish ancestry
Orleans-1 State House District
Vermont
95.7twin score
elasticity12-yr trendpopulation scale≠ Scottish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Vermont Essex-Caledonia State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50E-C/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Vermont at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Vermont Essex-Caledonia State House District
counties it covers2
Frequently asked questions
How did Vermont Essex-Caledonia State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Vermont Essex-Caledonia State House District voted Republican by 0.7 points (R+0.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,381 votes cast, 1,138 went Democratic and 1,155 went Republican.
When did Vermont Essex-Caledonia State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Vermont Essex-Caledonia State House District voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Vermont Essex-Caledonia State House District?
Vermont Essex-Caledonia State House District has a population of 4,073 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Vermont Essex-Caledonia State House District?
Median household income in Vermont Essex-Caledonia State House District is $65,250 — below the national median of $80,734. The Vermont state median is $81,203.
What is the political history of Vermont Essex-Caledonia State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Vermont Essex-Caledonia State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 32 went Republican.