Essex-Caledonia State House District, Vermont: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+7%. Republican peak: R+56 in 1904.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+7MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 4,6602024 5-year
- Median household income
- $62,8762024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+35 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56 in 1904MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Essex-Caledonia State House District, VTOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 1,154 | 1,337 | 2,635 | ||
| R | 1,190 | 1,254 | 2,531 | ||
| R | 858 | 1,063 | 2,236 | ||
| D | 1,217 | 864 | 2,149 | ||
| D | 1,354 | 945 | 2,361 | ||
| R | 1,025 | 1,171 | 2,249 | ||
| R | 885 | 1,156 | 2,197 | ||
| D | 867 | 634 | 1,873 | ||
| D | 819 | 772 | 2,221 | ||
| R | 651 | 1,149 | 1,818 | ||
| R | 524 | 1,217 | 1,760 | ||
| R | 582 | 983 | 1,751 | ||
| R | 699 | 883 | 1,605 | ||
| R | 498 | 1,093 | 1,602 | ||
| R | 657 | 779 | 1,483 | ||
| D | 1,160 | 555 | 1,715 | ||
| R | 699 | 1,088 | 1,787 | ||
| R | 462 | 1,275 | 1,737 | ||
| R | 458 | 1,214 | 1,677 | ||
| R | 589 | 847 | 1,446 | ||
| R | 727 | 812 | 1,538 | ||
| R | 969 | 1,004 | 1,980 | ||
| R | 794 | 1,074 | 1,871 | ||
| R | 909 | 1,122 | 2,042 | ||
| R | 511 | 1,221 | 1,736 | ||
| R | 346 | 1,038 | 1,513 | ||
| R | 373 | 927 | 1,308 | ||
| R | 378 | 535 | 926 | ||
| R | 235 | 321 | 862 | ||
| R | 208 | 524 | 751 | ||
| R | 150 | 539 | 699 | ||
| R | 227 | 544 | 779 | ||
| R | 181 | 630 | 846 | ||
| R | 279 | 509 | 816 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
18.6%
Irish
15.0%
French
10.9%
American
6.3%
Scottish
5.9%
German
5.6%
Italian
4.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 49.9 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$62,876
Essex-Caledonia State House District ranks near the middle of US counties.
Essex-Caledonia State House District$62,876
Vermont$81,203
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
13.1%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1814.9%
Working age (18–64)13.2%
Seniors (65+)10.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.2%
speak English only
Other Indo-European4.1%
Spanish0.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.8%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 75.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Covering rural hill towns along Vermont's northeastern border, Essex-Caledonia swung within a single percentage point in 2024 presidential voting, signaling competitive pressure in a region long defined by low-density, resource-economy communities.
The Democratic margin in Essex-Caledonia State House District has rarely exceeded thirty-five points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-six points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by seven points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 93% non-Hispanic-white share, a 13% poverty rate, and a median household income of $62,876 — all within the broad national range.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Essex-Caledonia State House District, Vermont. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50E-C/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Essex-Caledonia State House District, Vermont vote in 2024?
In 2024, Essex-Caledonia State House District, Vermont voted Republican by 6.9 points (R+7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,635 votes cast, 1,154 went Democratic and 1,337 went Republican.
What is Essex-Caledonia State House District, Vermont's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Essex-Caledonia State House District, Vermont as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 5 times, Republican 29 times, and other 0 times.
When did Essex-Caledonia State House District, Vermont last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Essex-Caledonia State House District, Vermont voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Essex-Caledonia State House District, Vermont?
Essex-Caledonia State House District, Vermont has a population of 4,660 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Essex-Caledonia State House District, Vermont?
Median household income in Essex-Caledonia State House District, Vermont is $62,876 — below the national median of $80,734. The Vermont state median is $81,203.
What is the political history of Essex-Caledonia State House District, Vermont?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Essex-Caledonia State House District, Vermont from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 29 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.