HarrisDemocratic38.2%1,053TrumpRepublican54.5%1,500OtherAll other candidates7.3%201
R+16.2- Lead
- 447
- Total
- 2,754
- vs nation
- R+14.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Vermont Essex-Orleans State House District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic43.7%1,121TrumpRepublican53.2%1,366OtherAll other candidates3.1%80
R+9.5- Lead
- 245
- Total
- 2,567
- vs nation
- R+14.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic36.8%820TrumpRepublican51.0%1,136OtherAll other candidates12.2%271
R+14.2- Lead
- 316
- Total
- 2,227
- vs nation
- R+16.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic55.9%1,224RomneyRepublican41.1%899OtherAll other candidates3.1%67
D+14.8- Lead
- 325
- Total
- 2,190
- vs nation
- D+11.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic57.0%1,381McCainRepublican39.7%961OtherAll other candidates3.3%79
D+17.3- Lead
- 420
- Total
- 2,421
- vs nation
- D+10.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic46.8%1,076BushRepublican50.4%1,159OtherAll other candidates2.7%63
R+3.6- Lead
- 83
- Total
- 2,298
- vs nation
- R+1.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic40.7%952BushRepublican49.5%1,156OtherAll other candidates9.8%229
R+8.7- Lead
- 204
- Total
- 2,337
- vs nation
- R+9.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic45.8%918DoleRepublican31.0%621OtherAll other candidates23.2%466
D+14.8- Lead
- 297
- Total
- 2,005
- vs nation
- D+6.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+16.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,6052024 5-year
- Population density
- 12 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 372 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $57,4582024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 94.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+29.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+58.2 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Essex-Caledonia State House District, VT · twin score 98.7
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Essex-Orleans State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
64.9%
1,142 votes · D+29.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 57.0%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
75.8%
576 votes · R+58.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 75.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
1,381votes
57.0% of the vote · D+17.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 1,224 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
1,500votes
54.5% of the vote · R+16.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 1,366 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+11.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+14.8 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · +10.1 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+51.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+57.7 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alf Landon, 1936 · +41.1 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RLarry LaborState House · Essex-Orleans
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Covering sparsely populated Essex and Orleans counties in Vermont's Northeast Kingdom, this district backed the Republican presidential candidate by nearly 17 points in 2024, a margin that stands out in an otherwise blue-trending state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 29.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 58.2 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 16.2 points.
A population of 4,605, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,458 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Essex-Caledonia State House District and Orleans-2 State House District.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Essex-Caledonia State House District
Vermont
98.7twin score
elasticity12-yr trendpopulation scale
Orleans-2 State House District
Vermont
98.4twin score
12-yr trendelasticitypopulation scale
Orleans-4 State House District
Vermont
97.9twin score
elasticity12-yr trendpopulation scale
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Vermont Essex-Orleans State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50E-O/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Vermont at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Vermont Essex-Orleans State House District
counties it covers2
Frequently asked questions
How did Vermont Essex-Orleans State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Vermont Essex-Orleans State House District voted Republican by 16.2 points (R+16.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,754 votes cast, 1,053 went Democratic and 1,500 went Republican.
When did Vermont Essex-Orleans State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Vermont Essex-Orleans State House District voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Vermont Essex-Orleans State House District?
Vermont Essex-Orleans State House District has a population of 4,605 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Vermont Essex-Orleans State House District?
Median household income in Vermont Essex-Orleans State House District is $57,458 — below the national median of $80,734. The Vermont state median is $81,203.
What is the political history of Vermont Essex-Orleans State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Vermont Essex-Orleans State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 32 went Republican.