HarrisDemocratic62.5%1,574TrumpRepublican33.6%847OtherAll other candidates3.9%97
D+28.9- Lead
- 727
- Total
- 2,518
- vs nation
- D+30.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Vermont Orleans-4 State House District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic65.2%1,610TrumpRepublican31.2%770OtherAll other candidates3.7%91
D+34.0- Lead
- 840
- Total
- 2,471
- vs nation
- D+29.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic56.0%1,203TrumpRepublican29.1%625OtherAll other candidates14.9%320
D+26.9- Lead
- 578
- Total
- 2,148
- vs nation
- D+24.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic70.7%1,518RomneyRepublican27.1%582OtherAll other candidates2.1%46
D+43.6- Lead
- 936
- Total
- 2,146
- vs nation
- D+39.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic72.7%1,706McCainRepublican25.4%596OtherAll other candidates2.0%46
D+47.3- Lead
- 1,110
- Total
- 2,348
- vs nation
- D+40.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic59.1%1,251BushRepublican38.5%814OtherAll other candidates2.5%52
D+20.6- Lead
- 437
- Total
- 2,117
- vs nation
- D+23.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic52.2%1,074BushRepublican40.2%826OtherAll other candidates7.6%156
D+12.1- Lead
- 248
- Total
- 2,056
- vs nation
- D+11.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic56.4%1,014DoleRepublican23.4%421OtherAll other candidates20.2%364
D+33.0- Lead
- 593
- Total
- 1,799
- vs nation
- D+24.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+28.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,2442024 5-year
- Population density
- 28 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 153 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $76,3542024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+47.3 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+71.3 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Orleans-3 State House District, VT · twin score 99.7
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Orleans-4 State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
72.7%
1,706 votes · D+47.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 70.7%
Republican
William McKinley1896
85.6%
483 votes · R+71.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 85.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
1,706votes
72.7% of the vote · D+47.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 1,610 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
847votes
33.6% of the vote · D+28.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 846 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
+40.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+47.3 · U.S. D+7.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +39.8 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+65.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+71.3 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1908 · +56.3 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
DLeanne HarpleState House · Orleans-4
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Vermont Orleans-4 State House District sits in New England. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 47.3 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 71.3 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 28.9 points.
A population of 4,244, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,354 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Orleans-3 State House District and Orleans-2 State House District.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Orleans-3 State House District
Vermont
99.7twin score
elasticity12-yr trendpopulation scale
Orleans-2 State House District
Vermont
98.8twin score
elasticity12-yr trendpopulation scale
Orleans-1 State House District
Vermont
98.2twin score
elasticity12-yr trendpopulation scale≠ median age
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Vermont Orleans-4 State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50O-4/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Vermont at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Vermont Orleans-4 State House District
counties it covers1
Frequently asked questions
How did Vermont Orleans-4 State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Vermont Orleans-4 State House District voted Democratic by 28.9 points (D+28.9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 2,518 votes cast, 1,574 went Democratic and 847 went Republican.
When did Vermont Orleans-4 State House District last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Vermont Orleans-4 State House District voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in Vermont Orleans-4 State House District?
Vermont Orleans-4 State House District has a population of 4,244 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Vermont Orleans-4 State House District?
Median household income in Vermont Orleans-4 State House District is $76,354 — below the national median of $80,734. The Vermont state median is $81,203.
What is the political history of Vermont Orleans-4 State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Vermont Orleans-4 State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 23 went Republican.