Orleans-4 State House District, Vermont: Tossup district. In 2024, voted a near-tie. Republican peak: R+76 in 1904.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- TiedMIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- TossupAkashic typology
- Population
- 5,9822024 5-year
- Median household income
- $70,1032024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+28 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+76 in 1904MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Orleans-4 State House District, VTOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 1,464 | 1,479 | 3,082 | ||
| D | 1,549 | 1,411 | 3,055 | ||
| D | 1,124 | 1,118 | 2,610 | ||
| D | 1,542 | 933 | 2,534 | ||
| D | 1,733 | 971 | 2,768 | ||
| D | 1,372 | 1,228 | 2,653 | ||
| R | 1,186 | 1,257 | 2,629 | ||
| D | 1,113 | 675 | 2,164 | ||
| D | 1,023 | 774 | 2,495 | ||
| R | 915 | 1,139 | 2,083 | ||
| R | 714 | 1,293 | 2,035 | ||
| R | 796 | 969 | 1,991 | ||
| R | 772 | 883 | 1,688 | ||
| R | 605 | 1,063 | 1,682 | ||
| R | 599 | 879 | 1,542 | ||
| D | 1,061 | 652 | 1,713 | ||
| R | 727 | 1,089 | 1,816 | ||
| R | 445 | 1,158 | 1,603 | ||
| R | 434 | 1,263 | 1,703 | ||
| R | 478 | 818 | 1,301 | ||
| R | 576 | 824 | 1,399 | ||
| R | 714 | 971 | 1,688 | ||
| R | 577 | 1,092 | 1,673 | ||
| R | 548 | 1,112 | 1,675 | ||
| R | 286 | 1,205 | 1,494 | ||
| R | 134 | 1,085 | 1,274 | ||
| R | 160 | 953 | 1,122 | ||
| R | 227 | 598 | 835 | ||
| O | 136 | 320 | 879 | ||
| R | 83 | 549 | 644 | ||
| R | 71 | 555 | 636 | ||
| R | 96 | 596 | 699 | ||
| R | 96 | 739 | 857 | ||
| R | 137 | 511 | 669 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
14.4%
Irish
12.1%
American
8.1%
German
7.7%
French
7.7%
Italian
4.1%
Scottish
3.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 45.7 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$70,103
Orleans-4 State House District ranks near the middle of US counties.
Orleans-4 State House District$70,103
Vermont$81,203
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
11.7%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1814.7%
Working age (18–64)10.9%
Seniors (65+)12.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.1%
speak English only
Other Indo-European4.3%
Spanish0.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.5%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 75.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Orleans-4 State House District in New England delivered a near-tie in 2024, with the Republican candidate carrying the district by zero points — well within the historical noise of how the district votes.
The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached twenty-eight points in 2008; the Republican margin reached seventy-six points in 1904. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.
Its demographics — a population of 5,982, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $70,103 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Orleans-4 State House District, Vermont. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50O-4/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Orleans-4 State House District, Vermont vote in 2024?
In 2024, Orleans-4 State House District, Vermont voted a near-tie (Tied), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 3,082 votes cast, 1,464 went Democratic and 1,479 went Republican.
What is Orleans-4 State House District, Vermont's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Orleans-4 State House District, Vermont as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 8 times, Republican 25 times, and other 1 times.
When did Orleans-4 State House District, Vermont last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Orleans-4 State House District, Vermont voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Orleans-4 State House District, Vermont?
Orleans-4 State House District, Vermont has a population of 5,982 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Orleans-4 State House District, Vermont?
Median household income in Orleans-4 State House District, Vermont is $70,103 — below the national median of $80,734. The Vermont state median is $81,203.
What is the political history of Orleans-4 State House District, Vermont?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Orleans-4 State House District, Vermont from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 25 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.