- Lead
- 28
- Total
- 2,108
- vs nation
- D+0.1
Vermont Orleans-3 State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 94
- Total
- 2,026
- vs nation
- D+0.2
- Lead
- 40
- Total
- 1,676
- vs nation
- D+0.3
- Lead
- 406
- Total
- 1,703
- vs nation
- D+20.0
- Lead
- 499
- Total
- 1,850
- vs nation
- D+19.7
- Lead
- 48
- Total
- 1,841
- vs nation
- D+5.1
- Lead
- 96
- Total
- 1,773
- vs nation
- R+5.9
- Lead
- 296
- Total
- 1,335
- vs nation
- D+13.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+1.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,2712024 5-year
- Population density
- 41 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 105 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $72,0982024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+27.0 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+78.9 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Orleans-4 State House District, VT · twin score 99.7
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Orleans-3 State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
62.8%
1,161 votes · D+27.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 61.1%
Republican
William McKinley1896
89.5%
526 votes · R+78.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 88.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
1,161votes
62.8% of the vote · D+27.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 1,041 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
1,037votes
49.2% of the vote · R+1.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 937 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+20.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+23.8 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · +19.7 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+72.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+78.9 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1908 · +66.6 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Vermont Orleans-3 State House District sits in New England. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 27.0 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 78.9 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 1.3 points.
A population of 4,271, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,098 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Orleans-4 State House District and Orleans-2 State House District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Vermont Orleans-3 State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50O-3/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.