HarrisDemocratic52.6%1,004TrumpRepublican44.1%841OtherAll other candidates3.3%62
D+8.5- Lead
- 163
- Total
- 1,907
- vs nation
- D+10.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Vermont Orleans-2 State House District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic56.1%1,029TrumpRepublican41.1%754OtherAll other candidates2.8%52
D+15.0- Lead
- 275
- Total
- 1,835
- vs nation
- D+10.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic46.7%718TrumpRepublican39.8%612OtherAll other candidates13.5%207
D+6.9- Lead
- 106
- Total
- 1,537
- vs nation
- D+4.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic62.1%998RomneyRepublican36.0%579OtherAll other candidates1.9%30
D+26.1- Lead
- 419
- Total
- 1,607
- vs nation
- D+22.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic63.9%1,124McCainRepublican34.4%605OtherAll other candidates1.7%30
D+29.5- Lead
- 519
- Total
- 1,759
- vs nation
- D+22.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic50.8%891BushRepublican47.6%836OtherAll other candidates1.6%28
D+3.1- Lead
- 55
- Total
- 1,755
- vs nation
- D+5.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic44.0%766BushRepublican49.5%861OtherAll other candidates6.4%112
R+5.5- Lead
- 95
- Total
- 1,739
- vs nation
- R+6.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic52.3%719DoleRepublican33.5%460OtherAll other candidates14.3%196
D+18.8- Lead
- 259
- Total
- 1,375
- vs nation
- D+10.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+8.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,4552024 5-year
- Population density
- 755 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 5.9 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $54,6462024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+29.5 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+76.3 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Orleans-3 State House District, VT · twin score 98.9
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Orleans-2 State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
63.9%
1,124 votes · D+29.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 62.1%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
88.2%
387 votes · R+76.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · 86.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
1,124votes
63.9% of the vote · D+29.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 1,029 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
886votes
64.4% of the vote · R+30.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 865 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
+22.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+29.5 · U.S. D+7.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +22.2 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+68.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+74.1 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +64.8 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RWoody PageState House · Orleans-2
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Orleans-2 covers a sparsely populated stretch of Vermont's Northeast Kingdom, where a D+8.5 presidential margin coexists with the independent-minded political culture typical of the region's small towns and working farms.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 29.5 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 76.3 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 8.5 points.
A population of 4,455, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $54,646 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Orleans-3 State House District and Orleans-4 State House District.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Orleans-3 State House District
Vermont
98.9twin score
elasticity12-yr trendpopulation scale
Orleans-4 State House District
Vermont
98.8twin score
elasticity12-yr trendpopulation scale
Essex-Orleans State House District
Vermont
98.4twin score
12-yr trendelasticitypopulation scale
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Vermont Orleans-2 State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50O-2/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Vermont at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Vermont Orleans-2 State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Vermont Orleans-2 State House District voted Democratic by 8.5 points (D+8.5), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 1,907 votes cast, 1,004 went Democratic and 841 went Republican.
When did Vermont Orleans-2 State House District last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Vermont Orleans-2 State House District voted Republican was 2000.
How many people live in Vermont Orleans-2 State House District?
Vermont Orleans-2 State House District has a population of 4,455 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Vermont Orleans-2 State House District?
Median household income in Vermont Orleans-2 State House District is $54,646 — below the national median of $80,734. The Vermont state median is $81,203.
What is the political history of Vermont Orleans-2 State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Vermont Orleans-2 State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 28 went Republican.