HarrisDemocratic42.8%1,141TrumpRepublican53.6%1,428OtherAll other candidates3.5%94
R+10.8- Lead
- 287
- Total
- 2,663
- vs nation
- R+9.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Vermont Orleans-1 State House District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic46.4%1,167TrumpRepublican50.9%1,280OtherAll other candidates2.7%68
R+4.5- Lead
- 113
- Total
- 2,515
- vs nation
- R+8.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic40.6%885TrumpRepublican46.0%1,004OtherAll other candidates13.4%293
R+5.5- Lead
- 119
- Total
- 2,182
- vs nation
- R+7.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic59.4%1,237RomneyRepublican38.2%797OtherAll other candidates2.4%50
D+21.1- Lead
- 440
- Total
- 2,084
- vs nation
- D+17.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic60.8%1,388McCainRepublican36.6%835OtherAll other candidates2.6%60
D+24.2- Lead
- 553
- Total
- 2,283
- vs nation
- D+17.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic51.4%1,105BushRepublican47.3%1,016OtherAll other candidates1.3%29
D+4.1- Lead
- 89
- Total
- 2,150
- vs nation
- D+6.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic45.1%955BushRepublican49.5%1,048OtherAll other candidates5.5%116
R+4.4- Lead
- 93
- Total
- 2,119
- vs nation
- R+4.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic53.8%892DoleRepublican33.9%562OtherAll other candidates12.3%203
D+19.9- Lead
- 330
- Total
- 1,657
- vs nation
- D+11.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+10.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,5792024 5-year
- Population density
- 93 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 49 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $80,2502024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+24.2 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+75.7 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Orleans-4 State House District, VT · twin score 98.2
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Orleans-1 State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
60.8%
1,388 votes · D+24.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 60.8%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
87.4%
464 votes · R+75.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 85.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
1,388votes
60.8% of the vote · D+24.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 1,237 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
1,428votes
53.6% of the vote · R+10.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 1,280 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+17.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+21.1 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · +17.0 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+69.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+75.3 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +64.1 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RRichard NelsonState House · Orleans-1
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Orleans-1 covers sparsely populated hill towns in Vermont's Northeast Kingdom, where the 2024 presidential result ran roughly 11 points to the right of the state median — a pattern consistent with the region's long-standing rural-conservative tilt.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 24.2 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 75.7 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 10.8 points.
A population of 4,579, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $80,250 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Orleans-4 State House District and Essex-Orleans State House District.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Orleans-4 State House District
Vermont
98.2twin score
elasticity12-yr trendpopulation scale≠ median age
Essex-Orleans State House District
Vermont
97.6twin score
elasticity12-yr trendpopulation scale
Orleans-2 State House District
Vermont
97.0twin score
elasticity12-yr trendpopulation scale
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Vermont Orleans-1 State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50O-1/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Vermont at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Vermont Orleans-1 State House District
counties it covers1
Frequently asked questions
How did Vermont Orleans-1 State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Vermont Orleans-1 State House District voted Republican by 10.8 points (R+10.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,663 votes cast, 1,141 went Democratic and 1,428 went Republican.
When did Vermont Orleans-1 State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Vermont Orleans-1 State House District voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Vermont Orleans-1 State House District?
Vermont Orleans-1 State House District has a population of 4,579 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Vermont Orleans-1 State House District?
Median household income in Vermont Orleans-1 State House District is $80,250 — below the national median of $80,734. The Vermont state median is $81,203.
What is the political history of Vermont Orleans-1 State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Vermont Orleans-1 State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 32 went Republican.