HarrisDemocratic41.6%2,016TrumpRepublican54.9%2,656OtherAll other candidates3.5%169
R+13.2- Lead
- 640
- Total
- 4,841
- vs nation
- R+11.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Vermont Orleans-Lamoille State House District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic44.8%2,055TrumpRepublican52.0%2,382OtherAll other candidates3.2%146
R+7.1- Lead
- 327
- Total
- 4,583
- vs nation
- R+11.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic37.4%1,483TrumpRepublican47.1%1,866OtherAll other candidates15.5%612
R+9.7- Lead
- 383
- Total
- 3,961
- vs nation
- R+11.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic57.0%2,040RomneyRepublican40.5%1,450OtherAll other candidates2.5%88
D+16.5- Lead
- 590
- Total
- 3,578
- vs nation
- D+12.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic58.9%2,299McCainRepublican38.8%1,514OtherAll other candidates2.3%88
D+20.1- Lead
- 785
- Total
- 3,901
- vs nation
- D+12.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic50.1%1,875BushRepublican47.4%1,773OtherAll other candidates2.5%92
D+2.7- Lead
- 102
- Total
- 3,740
- vs nation
- D+5.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic42.9%1,600BushRepublican48.7%1,815OtherAll other candidates8.4%312
R+5.8- Lead
- 215
- Total
- 3,727
- vs nation
- R+6.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic47.2%1,485DoleRepublican32.7%1,030OtherAll other candidates20.1%633
D+14.5- Lead
- 455
- Total
- 3,148
- vs nation
- D+5.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+13.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 8,8912024 5-year
- Population density
- 26 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 338 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $78,5192024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+20.1 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+79.0 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Orleans-3 State House District, VT · twin score 96.1
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Orleans-Lamoille State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
58.9%
2,299 votes · D+20.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 58.9%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
89.0%
800 votes · R+79.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 87.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
2,299votes
58.9% of the vote · D+20.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 2,055 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
2,656votes
54.9% of the vote · R+13.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 2,382 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
+12.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+20.1 · U.S. D+7.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +12.6 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+71.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+77.8 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +67.5 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RMark HigleyState House · Orleans-Lamoille
RMichael MarcotteState House · Orleans-Lamoille
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Spanning parts of Orleans and Lamoille counties, this sparsely populated district delivered a 13.2-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, reflecting a broader rural realignment across Vermont's northeast corner over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 20.1 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 79.0 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 13.2 points.
A population of 8,891, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $78,519 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Orleans-3 State House District and Orleans-4 State House District.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Orleans-3 State House District
Vermont
96.1twin score
elasticity% unaffiliated12-yr trend
Orleans-4 State House District
Vermont
95.5twin score
elasticity% unaffiliated12-yr trend
Orleans-2 State House District
Vermont
93.9twin score
elasticity% unaffiliated12-yr trend≠ median age
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Vermont Orleans-Lamoille State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50O-L/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Vermont at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Vermont Orleans-Lamoille State House District
counties it covers2
Frequently asked questions
How did Vermont Orleans-Lamoille State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Vermont Orleans-Lamoille State House District voted Republican by 13.2 points (R+13.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 4,841 votes cast, 2,016 went Democratic and 2,656 went Republican.
When did Vermont Orleans-Lamoille State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Vermont Orleans-Lamoille State House District voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Vermont Orleans-Lamoille State House District?
Vermont Orleans-Lamoille State House District has a population of 8,891 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Vermont Orleans-Lamoille State House District?
Median household income in Vermont Orleans-Lamoille State House District is $78,519 — below the national median of $80,734. The Vermont state median is $81,203.
What is the political history of Vermont Orleans-Lamoille State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Vermont Orleans-Lamoille State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 31 went Republican.