- Lead
- 98
- Total
- 2,346
- vs nation
- R+2.7
Vermont Rutland-1 State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 31
- Total
- 2,329
- vs nation
- R+3.1
- Lead
- 0
- Total
- 1,998
- vs nation
- R+2.1
- Lead
- 394
- Total
- 1,911
- vs nation
- D+16.8
- Lead
- 497
- Total
- 2,094
- vs nation
- D+16.5
- Lead
- 134
- Total
- 2,066
- vs nation
- D+8.9
- Lead
- 67
- Total
- 1,915
- vs nation
- D+3.0
- Lead
- 237
- Total
- 1,663
- vs nation
- D+5.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+4.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,0342024 5-year
- Population density
- 55 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 72.7 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $73,2222024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+30.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+64.4 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Rutland-3 State House District, VT · twin score 99.6
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Rutland-1 State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
65.1%
898 votes · D+30.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 60.9%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
82.2%
379 votes · R+64.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 81.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
1,276votes
60.9% of the vote · D+23.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 1,144 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
1,185votes
50.5% of the vote · R+4.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 1,113 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+16.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+20.6 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · +16.5 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+55.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+62.0 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1908 · +47.2 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Rutland-1 covers a slice of one of Vermont's more Republican-leaning counties, where the 2024 presidential race landed at R+4.2 — a tighter margin than its surroundings but still a departure from the state's statewide Democratic lean.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 30.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 64.4 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 4.2 points.
A population of 4,034, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,222 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Rutland-3 State House District and Rutland-10 State House District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Vermont Rutland-1 State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50R-1/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.