HarrisDemocratic44.3%913TrumpRepublican52.6%1,085OtherAll other candidates3.2%65
R+8.3- Lead
- 172
- Total
- 2,063
- vs nation
- R+6.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Vermont Rutland-10 State House District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic47.0%960TrumpRepublican50.0%1,022OtherAll other candidates2.9%60
R+3.0- Lead
- 62
- Total
- 2,042
- vs nation
- R+7.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic41.9%750TrumpRepublican45.6%817OtherAll other candidates12.5%223
R+3.7- Lead
- 67
- Total
- 1,790
- vs nation
- R+5.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic56.7%986RomneyRepublican40.5%704OtherAll other candidates2.9%50
D+16.2- Lead
- 282
- Total
- 1,740
- vs nation
- D+12.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic58.4%1,121McCainRepublican39.0%748OtherAll other candidates2.6%50
D+19.4- Lead
- 373
- Total
- 1,919
- vs nation
- D+12.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic49.9%963BushRepublican48.4%934OtherAll other candidates1.8%34
D+1.5- Lead
- 29
- Total
- 1,931
- vs nation
- D+4.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic46.6%852BushRepublican47.8%873OtherAll other candidates5.6%102
R+1.1- Lead
- 21
- Total
- 1,827
- vs nation
- R+1.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic48.2%808DoleRepublican38.6%647OtherAll other candidates13.3%223
D+9.6- Lead
- 161
- Total
- 1,678
- vs nation
- D+1.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+8.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 3,9382024 5-year
- Population density
- 44 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 89.5 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $66,9772024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+26.5 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+61.5 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Rutland-1 State House District, VT · twin score 99.6
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Rutland-10 State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
63.3%
808 votes · D+26.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 58.4%
Republican
William McKinley1896
79.1%
446 votes · R+61.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 78.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
1,121votes
58.4% of the vote · D+19.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 986 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
1,085votes
52.6% of the vote · R+8.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 1,022 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+12.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+16.2 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · +12.2 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+55.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+61.5 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +47.1 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RBill CanfieldState House · Rutland-10
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Rutland-10 backed the 2024 Republican presidential nominee by nearly 12 points in a state that went the other direction statewide, reflecting the rural-urban divide that has reshaped Vermont's political map over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 26.5 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 61.5 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 8.3 points.
A population of 3,938, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,977 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Rutland-1 State House District and Rutland-7 State House District.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Rutland-1 State House District
Vermont
99.6twin score
elasticitypopulation scale12-yr trend
Rutland-7 State House District
Vermont
98.8twin score
elasticitypopulation scale12-yr trend
Rutland-3 State House District
Vermont
98.6twin score
elasticitypopulation scale12-yr trend
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Vermont Rutland-10 State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50R10/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Vermont at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Vermont Rutland-10 State House District
counties it covers1
Frequently asked questions
How did Vermont Rutland-10 State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Vermont Rutland-10 State House District voted Republican by 8.3 points (R+8.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,063 votes cast, 913 went Democratic and 1,085 went Republican.
When did Vermont Rutland-10 State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Vermont Rutland-10 State House District voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Vermont Rutland-10 State House District?
Vermont Rutland-10 State House District has a population of 3,938 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Vermont Rutland-10 State House District?
Median household income in Vermont Rutland-10 State House District is $66,977 — below the national median of $80,734. The Vermont state median is $81,203.
What is the political history of Vermont Rutland-10 State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Vermont Rutland-10 State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 32 went Republican.