- Lead
- 115
- Total
- 2,714
- vs nation
- D+5.7
Vermont Rutland-8 State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 256
- Total
- 2,704
- vs nation
- D+5.0
- Lead
- 45
- Total
- 2,382
- vs nation
- R+0.2
- Lead
- 455
- Total
- 2,282
- vs nation
- D+16.1
- Lead
- 579
- Total
- 2,512
- vs nation
- D+15.8
- Lead
- 75
- Total
- 2,445
- vs nation
- D+5.5
- Lead
- 4
- Total
- 2,253
- vs nation
- R+0.7
- Lead
- 245
- Total
- 1,979
- vs nation
- D+3.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+4.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,6252024 5-year
- Population density
- 91 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 50.7 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $70,2402024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+29.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+60.8 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Rutland-9 State House District, VT · twin score 99.3
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Rutland-8 State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
64.7%
1,050 votes · D+29.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 60.5%
Republican
William McKinley1896
79.3%
550 votes · R+60.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 78.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
1,520votes
60.5% of the vote · D+23.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 1,437 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
1,254votes
46.2% of the vote · D+4.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 1,246 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+16.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+19.9 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · +15.8 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+54.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+60.8 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1908 · +47.8 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Rutland-8 covers a small slice of Vermont's historically Republican Rutland County, yet its 2024 presidential result tipped Democratic by 2.5 points — a margin thin enough to make it a genuine swing target in state legislative contests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 29.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 60.8 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 4.2 points.
A population of 4,625, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,240 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Rutland-9 State House District and Rutland-5 State House District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Vermont Rutland-8 State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50R-8/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.