- Lead
- 275
- Total
- 2,256
- vs nation
- D+13.7
Vermont Rutland-7 State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 407
- Total
- 2,261
- vs nation
- D+13.5
- Lead
- 219
- Total
- 1,946
- vs nation
- D+9.2
- Lead
- 574
- Total
- 1,982
- vs nation
- D+25.1
- Lead
- 689
- Total
- 2,197
- vs nation
- D+24.1
- Lead
- 258
- Total
- 2,171
- vs nation
- D+14.3
- Lead
- 180
- Total
- 1,965
- vs nation
- D+8.6
- Lead
- 347
- Total
- 1,697
- vs nation
- D+11.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+12.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,5452024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,818 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2.5 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $53,7502024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+37.3 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56.5 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Rutland-10 State House District, VT · twin score 98.8
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Rutland-7 State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
68.6%
1,007 votes · D+37.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 64.6%
Republican
Calvin Coolidge1924
77.7%
704 votes · R+56.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 77.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
1,420votes
64.6% of the vote · D+31.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 1,290 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
1,011votes
58.0% of the vote · R+16.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 965 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+25.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+29.0 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · +24.1 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+48.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+54.3 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1908 · +40.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Rutland-7 covers a slice of one of Vermont's more traditionally Republican-leaning counties, yet its roughly 4,500 residents gave the 2020 Democratic presidential nominee an 18-point margin, reflecting the broader leftward shift in many Vermont urban and village precincts.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 37.3 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 56.5 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 12.2 points.
A population of 4,545, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $53,750 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Rutland-10 State House District and Rutland-1 State House District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Vermont Rutland-7 State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50R-7/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.