HarrisDemocratic46.2%1,007TrumpRepublican50.8%1,108OtherAll other candidates3.0%66
R+4.6- Lead
- 101
- Total
- 2,181
- vs nation
- R+3.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Vermont Rutland-3 State House District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic48.9%1,055TrumpRepublican48.2%1,041OtherAll other candidates2.9%62
D+0.6- Lead
- 14
- Total
- 2,158
- vs nation
- R+3.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic44.4%794TrumpRepublican45.1%807OtherAll other candidates10.5%187
R+0.7- Lead
- 13
- Total
- 1,788
- vs nation
- R+2.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic58.7%1,027RomneyRepublican39.8%696OtherAll other candidates1.5%26
D+18.9- Lead
- 331
- Total
- 1,749
- vs nation
- D+15.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic60.1%1,153McCainRepublican38.6%741OtherAll other candidates1.4%26
D+21.5- Lead
- 412
- Total
- 1,920
- vs nation
- D+14.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic50.8%970BushRepublican47.7%911OtherAll other candidates1.5%29
D+3.1- Lead
- 59
- Total
- 1,910
- vs nation
- D+5.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic47.8%860BushRepublican47.4%854OtherAll other candidates4.8%86
D+0.3- Lead
- 6
- Total
- 1,800
- vs nation
- R+0.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic50.1%807DoleRepublican39.1%630OtherAll other candidates10.9%175
D+11.0- Lead
- 177
- Total
- 1,612
- vs nation
- D+2.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+4.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,4582024 5-year
- Population density
- 115 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 38.9 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $73,8542024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+27.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+65.1 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Rutland-1 State House District, VT · twin score 99.6
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Rutland-3 State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
63.8%
808 votes · D+27.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 60.1%
Republican
William McKinley1896
82.5%
437 votes · R+65.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 81.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
1,153votes
60.1% of the vote · D+21.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 1,055 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
1,108votes
50.8% of the vote · R+4.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 1,041 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+15.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+18.9 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · +14.2 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+59.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+65.1 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1908 · +50.3 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RZak HarveyState House · Rutland-3
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Rutland-3 leans modestly Republican at the presidential level in a state that has trended blue statewide, suggesting a local electorate that splits from Vermont's broader partisan pattern by a meaningful but not dramatic margin.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 27.6 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 65.1 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 4.6 points.
A population of 4,458, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,854 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Rutland-1 State House District and Rutland-10 State House District.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Rutland-1 State House District
Vermont
99.6twin score
elasticitypopulation scale12-yr trend
Rutland-10 State House District
Vermont
98.6twin score
elasticitypopulation scale12-yr trend
Rutland-7 State House District
Vermont
97.3twin score
elasticitypopulation scale12-yr trend
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Vermont Rutland-3 State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50R-3/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Vermont at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Vermont Rutland-3 State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Vermont Rutland-3 State House District voted Republican by 4.6 points (R+4.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,181 votes cast, 1,007 went Democratic and 1,108 went Republican.
When did Vermont Rutland-3 State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Vermont Rutland-3 State House District voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Vermont Rutland-3 State House District?
Vermont Rutland-3 State House District has a population of 4,458 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Vermont Rutland-3 State House District?
Median household income in Vermont Rutland-3 State House District is $73,854 — below the national median of $80,734. The Vermont state median is $81,203.
What is the political history of Vermont Rutland-3 State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Vermont Rutland-3 State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 30 went Republican.