- Lead
- 172
- Total
- 5,438
- vs nation
- R+1.7
Vermont Rutland-2 State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 111
- Total
- 5,381
- vs nation
- R+2.4
- Lead
- 212
- Total
- 4,728
- vs nation
- R+6.6
- Lead
- 553
- Total
- 4,490
- vs nation
- D+8.5
- Lead
- 754
- Total
- 4,959
- vs nation
- D+7.9
- Lead
- 268
- Total
- 5,043
- vs nation
- R+2.9
- Lead
- 386
- Total
- 5,118
- vs nation
- R+8.1
- Lead
- 117
- Total
- 5,367
- vs nation
- R+5.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+3.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 9,0562024 5-year
- Population density
- 88 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 103 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $65,3082024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+20.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+62.5 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Rutland-9 State House District, VT · twin score 98.8
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Rutland-2 State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
60.1%
1,881 votes · D+20.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 56.3%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
77.6%
2,547 votes · R+55.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 77.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
2,794votes
56.3% of the vote · D+15.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 2,672 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
2,727votes
50.1% of the vote · R+3.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 2,658 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+8.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+12.3 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · +7.9 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+56.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+62.5 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1908 · +48.4 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Rutland-2 backed the 2024 Republican presidential ticket by 8.1 points, a notably wider margin than Vermont's statewide result, reflecting the rural, working-class character common to Rutland County's smaller towns.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 20.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 62.5 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 3.2 points.
A population of 9,056, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,308 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Rutland-9 State House District and Rutland-8 State House District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Vermont Rutland-2 State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50R-2/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.