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state house district

Vermont Rutland-4 State House District

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1876–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1876 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

English18.8%19.1%9.5%

Irish17.5%16.8%9.4%

French9.7%8.6%1.6%

Italian8.6%7.4%4.8%

German8.4%10.7%12.5%

American6.9%7.0%5.3%

Polish5.3%—2.2%

French Canadian4.3%6.2%—

Puerto Rican0.8%0.5%1.8%

Mexican0.3%0.6%11.3%

Spaniard0.3%0.2%—

Spanish0.2%0.2%—

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	VT HD 4	Vermont	United States
Median age	55	43.4	39.1
Age 18–24	8.0%	10.0%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	24.7%	21.5%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	VT HD 4	Vermont	United States
Median household income	$73,750	$81,203	$84,427
Poverty rate	9.9%	10.0%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	35.3%	44.1%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	VT HD 4	Vermont	United States
Owner-occupied homes	70.3%	73.2%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	29.7%	26.8%	34.8%
Median home value	$247,400	$316,600	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$996	$1,234	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	28.8%	48.4%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	10.6%	19.4%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	VT HD 4	Vermont	United States
Mean commute	21.7 min	23.5 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	8.6%	5.9%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	78.0%	68.5%	68.8%
Takes public transit	0.4%	0.8%	3.2%
Works from home	12.6%	16.9%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	VT HD 4	Vermont	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	4.2%	5.5%	22.3%
Spanish	1.4%	1.3%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	VT HD 4	Vermont	United States
Catholic	—	20.9%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	—	7.2%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	—	62.4%	51.5%

Origins and service

Measure	VT HD 4	Vermont	United States
Foreign-born residents	2.1%	4.3%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	1.6%	2.7%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	0.5%	1.5%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	6.6%	6.2%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.438	0.453	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083).

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries

HarrisDemocratic55.2%1,466TrumpRepublican41.3%1,095OtherAll other candidates3.5%93

D+14.0

Lead: 371
Total: 2,654
vs nation: D+15.5

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

BidenDemocratic58.0%1,538TrumpRepublican38.8%1,029OtherAll other candidates3.3%87

D+19.2

Lead: 509
Total: 2,654
vs nation: D+14.7

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic49.2%1,186TrumpRepublican39.8%961OtherAll other candidates11.0%266

D+9.3

Lead: 225
Total: 2,413
vs nation: D+7.2

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic60.3%1,367RomneyRepublican36.4%825OtherAll other candidates3.3%74

D+23.9

Lead: 542
Total: 2,266
vs nation: D+20.1

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic61.9%1,552McCainRepublican35.2%883OtherAll other candidates2.9%74

D+26.7

Lead: 669
Total: 2,509
vs nation: D+19.4

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

KerryDemocratic48.6%1,183BushRepublican44.8%1,092OtherAll other candidates6.6%160

D+3.7

Lead: 91
Total: 2,435
vs nation: D+6.2

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

GoreDemocratic41.2%1,036BushRepublican40.7%1,022OtherAll other candidates18.1%456

D+0.6

Lead: 14
Total: 2,514
vs nation: Even

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic35.6%986DoleRepublican27.0%747OtherAll other candidates37.4%1,037

Other win

Lead: 51
Total: 2,770
vs nation: D+0.1

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+14.0MIT Election Lab
Population: 4,5002024 5-year
Population density: 511 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 8.8 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $73,7502024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 90.7%2024 5-year
Black: 0.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 2.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+30.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+53.3 in 1896MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Rutland-9 State House District, VT · twin score 98.2

presidential history

Party record book

Vermont Rutland-4 State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Lyndon B. Johnson1964

65.0%

986 votes · D+30.0 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 61.9%

Republican

Dwight D. Eisenhower1956

74.1%

1,101 votes · R+48.3 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 71.9%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Barack Obama2008

1,552votes

61.9% of the vote · D+26.7 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 1,538 votes

Republican

Ronald Reagan1984

1,159votes

60.2% of the vote · R+23.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 1,101 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

Barack Obama2012

+20.1pts D vs U.S.

Place D+23.9 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · +19.4 pts

Republican

William McKinley1896

+47.3pts R vs U.S.

Place R+53.3 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +40.6 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

RChristopher HowlandState House · Rutland-4

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

U.S. House elections · 3 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	53.9%1,188	46.1%1,018	2,206
2020	D	61.3%1,362	38.7%861	2,223
2018	D	61.7%1,060	38.3%658	1,718

Rutland-4 covers a slice of one of Vermont's older industrial cities, where a D+19.2 margin in 2020 reflects a pattern common to Vermont's denser, more urban precincts despite the county's historically competitive statewide profile.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 30.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 53.3 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.0 points.

A population of 4,500, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,750 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Rutland-9 State House District and Rutland-11 State House District.

Political twins — state-house districts

The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Rutland-9 State House District

elasticitypopulation scale12-yr trend

Rutland-11 State House District

elasticitypopulation scalemedian age

Rutland-2 State House District

elasticity12-yr trend2008–2012 trajectory

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

District research tools

Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Vermont Rutland-4 State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50R-4/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

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Frequently asked questions

How did Vermont Rutland-4 State House District vote in 2024?

In 2024, Vermont Rutland-4 State House District voted Democratic by 14.0 points (D+14.0), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 2,654 votes cast, 1,466 went Democratic and 1,095 went Republican.

When did Vermont Rutland-4 State House District last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Vermont Rutland-4 State House District voted Republican was 1988.

How many people live in Vermont Rutland-4 State House District?

Vermont Rutland-4 State House District has a population of 4,500 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Vermont Rutland-4 State House District?

Median household income in Vermont Rutland-4 State House District is $73,750 — below the national median of $80,734. The Vermont state median is $81,203.

What is the political history of Vermont Rutland-4 State House District?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Vermont Rutland-4 State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 26 went Republican.