- Lead
- 391
- Total
- 2,253
- vs nation
- D+18.8
Vermont Rutland-5 State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 515
- Total
- 2,254
- vs nation
- D+18.4
- Lead
- 253
- Total
- 2,035
- vs nation
- D+10.3
- Lead
- 588
- Total
- 2,015
- vs nation
- D+25.3
- Lead
- 712
- Total
- 2,233
- vs nation
- D+24.6
- Lead
- 231
- Total
- 2,148
- vs nation
- D+13.2
- Lead
- 151
- Total
- 1,944
- vs nation
- D+7.2
- Lead
- 326
- Total
- 1,664
- vs nation
- D+11.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+17.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,1102024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,163 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1.9 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $89,1852024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+35.7 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57.1 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Rutland-8 State House District, VT · twin score 98.6
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Rutland-5 State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
67.9%
986 votes · D+35.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 65.0%
Republican
Calvin Coolidge1924
78.2%
708 votes · R+57.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 77.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
1,452votes
65.0% of the vote · D+31.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 1,345 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
1,013votes
58.6% of the vote · R+17.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 968 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+25.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+29.2 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · +24.6 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+49.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+55.9 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1908 · +41.8 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Rutland-5 covers a slice of one of Vermont's more traditionally Republican-leaning counties, yet its 2020 presidential result ran well to the Democratic side, reflecting the broader leftward shift in Vermont's smaller urban and town-center precincts.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 35.7 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 57.1 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 17.4 points.
A population of 4,110, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $89,185 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Rutland-8 State House District and Rutland-9 State House District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Vermont Rutland-5 State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50R-5/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.