- Lead
- 468
- Total
- 4,620
- vs nation
- D+11.6
Vermont Chittenden-Franklin State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 559
- Total
- 4,644
- vs nation
- D+7.6
- Lead
- 129
- Total
- 3,802
- vs nation
- D+1.3
- Lead
- 199
- Total
- 3,364
- vs nation
- D+2.1
- Lead
- 351
- Total
- 3,582
- vs nation
- D+2.5
- Lead
- 65
- Total
- 3,355
- vs nation
- D+0.5
- Lead
- 340
- Total
- 3,205
- vs nation
- R+11.1
- Lead
- 38
- Total
- 2,725
- vs nation
- R+7.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+10.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 8,1162024 5-year
- Population density
- 480 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 16.9 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $111,0332024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+15.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+74.0 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Chittenden-19 State House District, VT · twin score 99.7
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Chittenden-Franklin State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
57.7%
784 votes · D+15.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 54.3%
Republican
William McKinley1896
86.9%
344 votes · R+74.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 85.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
2,524votes
54.3% of the vote · D+12.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 2,452 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
1,984votes
42.9% of the vote · D+10.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 1,965 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+11.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+10.1 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +7.6 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+67.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+74.0 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1908 · +56.5 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With just over 8,000 residents straddling two counties, this district's modest D+10.1 presidential margin reflects the tension between Burlington-area lean and the more competitive political culture of Franklin County to the north.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 15.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 74.0 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 10.1 points.
A population of 8,116, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $111,033 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Chittenden-19 State House District and Washington-Chittenden State House District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Vermont Chittenden-Franklin State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50C-F/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.