- Lead
- 2,062
- Total
- 5,768
- vs nation
- D+37.2
Vermont Chittenden-19 State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 2,171
- Total
- 5,856
- vs nation
- D+32.6
- Lead
- 1,274
- Total
- 4,788
- vs nation
- D+24.5
- Lead
- 1,211
- Total
- 4,206
- vs nation
- D+24.9
- Lead
- 1,476
- Total
- 4,533
- vs nation
- D+25.3
- Lead
- 902
- Total
- 3,973
- vs nation
- D+25.2
- Lead
- 418
- Total
- 3,655
- vs nation
- D+10.9
- Lead
- 688
- Total
- 3,200
- vs nation
- D+13.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+35.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 8,7072024 5-year
- Population density
- 708 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 12.3 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $105,8132024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+37.1 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+61.2 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Chittenden-2 State House District, VT · twin score 99.7
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Chittenden-19 State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
67.6%
1,068 votes · D+35.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 67.0%
Republican
William McKinley1896
79.6%
273 votes · R+61.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 75.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
3,926votes
67.0% of the vote · D+37.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 3,804 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
1,755votes
30.0% of the vote · D+37.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 1,742 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+37.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+35.7 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +32.6 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+55.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+61.2 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Benjamin Harrison, 1892 · +36.5 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Anchored in Burlington's urban core, Chittenden-19 recorded a 39-point Democratic presidential lean in 2024, reflecting the dense, highly educated electorate that makes Chittenden County the state's dominant political center of gravity.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 37.1 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 61.2 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 35.7 points.
A population of 8,707, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $105,813 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Chittenden-2 State House District and Chittenden-Franklin State House District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Vermont Chittenden-19 State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50C19/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.