- Lead
- 2,656
- Total
- 4,579
- vs nation
- D+59.5
Vermont Chittenden-18 State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 2,770
- Total
- 4,633
- vs nation
- D+55.3
- Lead
- 2,009
- Total
- 4,108
- vs nation
- D+46.8
- Lead
- 1,960
- Total
- 3,444
- vs nation
- D+53.1
- Lead
- 2,235
- Total
- 3,751
- vs nation
- D+52.3
- Lead
- 1,695
- Total
- 3,108
- vs nation
- D+57.0
- Lead
- 1,214
- Total
- 2,885
- vs nation
- D+41.6
- Lead
- 1,263
- Total
- 2,663
- vs nation
- D+38.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+58.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 8,3152024 5-year
- Population density
- 3,960 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2.1 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $87,2642024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 80.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+64.5 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+23.3 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Chittenden-2 State House District, VT · twin score 98.7
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Chittenden-18 State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
82.2%
1,042 votes · D+64.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 78.5%
Republican
William McKinley1896
56.3%
121 votes · R+23.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 55.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
3,637votes
78.5% of the vote · D+59.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 3,519 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
867votes
18.7% of the vote · D+59.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 863 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+59.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+58.0 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · +57.0 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+17.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+23.3 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +1.7 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Anchored in Burlington's urban core, Chittenden-18 posted a 58.0-point Democratic presidential margin in 2024 — an intensity that reflects the dense concentration of students, renters, and Democratic activists in Vermont's largest city.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 64.5 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 23.3 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 58.0 points.
A population of 8,315, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $87,264 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Chittenden-2 State House District and Chittenden-6 State House District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Vermont Chittenden-18 State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50C18/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.