- Lead
- 2,327
- Total
- 2,799
- vs nation
- D+84.6
Vermont Chittenden-15 State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 2,408
- Total
- 2,856
- vs nation
- D+79.9
- Lead
- 1,607
- Total
- 2,223
- vs nation
- D+74.6
- Lead
- 2,040
- Total
- 3,058
- vs nation
- D+62.9
- Lead
- 2,316
- Total
- 3,350
- vs nation
- D+61.9
- Lead
- 2,199
- Total
- 4,068
- vs nation
- D+56.5
- Lead
- 1,580
- Total
- 3,851
- vs nation
- D+40.5
- Lead
- 1,494
- Total
- 3,605
- vs nation
- D+36.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+83.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 8,1722024 5-year
- Population density
- 6,810 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1.2 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $63,9082024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 82.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+84.3 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+24.1 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Chittenden-14 State House District, VT · twin score 98.8
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Chittenden-15 State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
90.7%
2,590 votes · D+84.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 89.6%
Republican
William McKinley1896
56.4%
150 votes · R+24.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 52.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
3,050votes
75.0% of the vote · D+54.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 2,804 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
976votes
37.6% of the vote · D+21.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George H. W. Bush, 1988 · 887 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+84.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+83.1 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +79.9 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+18.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+24.1 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1912 · +2.4 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Vermont Chittenden-15 State House District sits in New England. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 84.3 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 24.1 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 83.1 points.
A population of 8,172, a 82% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,908 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Chittenden-14 State House District and Chittenden-16 State House District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Vermont Chittenden-15 State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50C15/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.