- Lead
- 3,057
- Total
- 3,837
- vs nation
- D+81.1
Vermont Chittenden-16 State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 3,169
- Total
- 3,900
- vs nation
- D+76.8
- Lead
- 2,010
- Total
- 3,248
- vs nation
- D+67.7
- Lead
- 2,207
- Total
- 3,281
- vs nation
- D+63.4
- Lead
- 2,501
- Total
- 3,582
- vs nation
- D+62.5
- Lead
- 1,964
- Total
- 3,624
- vs nation
- D+56.7
- Lead
- 1,409
- Total
- 3,445
- vs nation
- D+40.4
- Lead
- 1,334
- Total
- 3,215
- vs nation
- D+36.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+79.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 8,0442024 5-year
- Population density
- 13,407 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 0.6 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $60,5002024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 72.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+81.3 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+21.3 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Chittenden-15 State House District, VT · twin score 98.3
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Chittenden-16 State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
88.9%
3,467 votes · D+81.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 87.4%
Republican
William McKinley1896
53.8%
134 votes · R+21.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 52.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
3,467votes
88.9% of the vote · D+81.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 3,355 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
869votes
37.5% of the vote · D+21.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George H. W. Bush, 1988 · 790 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+81.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+79.7 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +76.8 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+15.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+21.3 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1912 · +1.4 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Anchored in Burlington's urban core, Chittenden-16 recorded a 79.7-point Democratic presidential margin in 2024, placing it among the most lopsided legislative districts in the nation.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 81.3 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 21.3 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 79.7 points.
A population of 8,044, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,500 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Chittenden-15 State House District and Chittenden-11 State House District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Vermont Chittenden-16 State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50C16/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.