- Lead
- 66
- Total
- 5,750
- vs nation
- D+0.3
Maine 81st State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 6
- Total
- 5,526
- vs nation
- R+4.3
- Lead
- 466
- Total
- 4,931
- vs nation
- R+11.5
- Lead
- 852
- Total
- 4,594
- vs nation
- D+14.7
- Lead
- 1,002
- Total
- 5,067
- vs nation
- D+12.5
- Lead
- 572
- Total
- 5,049
- vs nation
- D+13.8
- Lead
- 442
- Total
- 4,401
- vs nation
- D+9.5
- Lead
- 1,171
- Total
- 4,115
- vs nation
- D+19.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+1.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 9,0722024 5-year
- Population density
- 28 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 321 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $58,1472024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+47.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+45.3 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 78, ME · twin score 99.4
presidential history
Party record book
Maine 81st State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
73.6%
2,274 votes · D+47.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 58.8%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
71.6%
1,943 votes · R+43.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 70.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
2,980votes
58.8% of the vote · D+19.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 2,793 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
2,859votes
49.7% of the vote · R+1.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 2,673 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+24.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+47.2 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · +19.9 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+39.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+45.3 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alf Landon, 1936 · +39.2 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 49.4%2,564 | 50.6%2,626 | 5,190 |
| 2020 | D | 53.3%2,710 | 46.7%2,370 | 5,080 |
With roughly 9,000 residents and a 2024 presidential margin of R+1.1, this Maine House district sits at the competitive edge where small shifts in turnout or candidate quality can flip outcomes.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 47.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 45.3 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 1.1 points.
A population of 9,072, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,147 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 78 and State House District 79.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Maine 81st State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/23081/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.