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Akashic

state house district

New Hampshire State House District Carroll 2

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1876–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1876 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

English26.8%18.3%9.5%

Irish20.8%20.6%9.4%

German10.6%8.6%12.5%

Italian9.2%9.8%4.8%

French7.6%10.5%1.6%

Scottish7.4%2.1%1.3%

French Canadian6.1%7.2%—

American4.1%4.2%5.3%

Puerto Rican0.7%1.4%1.8%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	NH HD 02	New Hampshire	United States
Median age	58.2	43.5	39.1
Age 18–24	5.8%	8.7%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	30.9%	20.3%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	NH HD 02	New Hampshire	United States
Median household income	$83,383	$99,031	$84,427
Poverty rate	10.1%	7.3%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	38.6%	40.7%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	NH HD 02	New Hampshire	United States
Owner-occupied homes	83.9%	72.8%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	16.1%	27.2%	34.8%
Median home value	$412,700	$402,500	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$1,608	$1,491	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	57.7%	48.2%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	53.9%	14.3%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	NH HD 02	New Hampshire	United States
Mean commute	28.3 min	26.7 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	15.2%	9.1%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	69.2%	72.0%	68.8%
Takes public transit	0.0%	0.5%	3.2%
Works from home	20.0%	16.8%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	NH HD 02	New Hampshire	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	3.8%	8.0%	22.3%
Spanish	1.5%	2.6%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	NH HD 02	New Hampshire	United States
Catholic	—	16.0%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	—	4.8%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	—	72.8%	51.5%

Origins and service

Measure	NH HD 02	New Hampshire	United States
Foreign-born residents	2.9%	6.1%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	2.7%	3.7%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	0.3%	2.4%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	7.6%	7.6%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.492	0.444	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083).

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries

HarrisDemocratic61.0%3,044TrumpRepublican37.1%1,849OtherAll other candidates1.9%95

D+24.0

Lead: 1,195
Total: 4,988
vs nation: D+25.4

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

BidenDemocratic61.7%3,069TrumpRepublican36.7%1,823OtherAll other candidates1.6%80

D+25.1

Lead: 1,246
Total: 4,972
vs nation: D+20.6

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic54.6%2,419TrumpRepublican38.3%1,698OtherAll other candidates7.1%316

D+16.3

Lead: 721
Total: 4,433
vs nation: D+14.2

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic58.9%2,581RomneyRepublican39.7%1,740OtherAll other candidates1.5%64

D+19.2

Lead: 841
Total: 4,385
vs nation: D+15.3

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic62.1%2,818McCainRepublican36.5%1,654OtherAll other candidates1.4%64

D+25.7

Lead: 1,164
Total: 4,536
vs nation: D+18.4

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

KerryDemocratic55.7%2,433BushRepublican43.6%1,906OtherAll other candidates0.7%29

D+12.1

Lead: 527
Total: 4,368
vs nation: D+14.5

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

GoreDemocratic50.2%1,825BushRepublican45.8%1,666OtherAll other candidates4.0%145

D+4.4

Lead: 159
Total: 3,636
vs nation: D+3.9

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic52.0%1,633DoleRepublican38.8%1,218OtherAll other candidates9.2%290

D+13.2

Lead: 415
Total: 3,141
vs nation: D+4.7

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+24.0MIT Election Lab
Population: 6,9902024 5-year
Population density: 18 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 386 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $83,3832024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 94.9%2024 5-year
Black: 0.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 1.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+26.1 in 1876MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+59.1 in 1956MIT Election Lab
Most similar: State House District 48, ME · twin score 95.1

presidential history

Party record book

New Hampshire State House District Carroll 2 · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Samuel J. Tilden1876

62.8%

455 votes · D+26.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 62.1%

Republican

Dwight D. Eisenhower1956

79.2%

977 votes · R+59.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 76.7%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Joe Biden2020

3,069votes

61.7% of the vote · D+25.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 3,044 votes

Republican

George W. Bush2004

1,906votes

43.6% of the vote · D+12.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 1,849 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

Kamala Harris2024

+25.4pts D vs U.S.

Place D+24.0 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +20.6 pts

Republican

Richard Nixon1960

+45.5pts R vs U.S.

Place R+45.4 · U.S. D+0.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1948 · +43.8 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

DAnita BurroughsState House · Carroll 2

DChris McAleerState House · Carroll 2

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

U.S. House elections · 3 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	51.3%2,347	48.7%2,224	4,571
2020	R	49.7%2,147	50.3%2,170	4,317
2018	D	51.4%1,639	48.6%1,547	3,186

Carroll 02 returned a 24.0-point Democratic presidential margin in 2024, an unusually wide gap for a rural New Hampshire district defined by resort towns and seasonal-resident voting patterns along the White Mountain foothills.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 26.1 points in 1876 and a Republican high of 59.1 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 24.0 points.

A population of 6,990, a 95% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $83,383 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 48 and State House District 46.

Political twins — state-house districts

The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

State House District 48

median age% unaffiliatedpopulation scale≠ Irish ancestry

State House District 46

median age% unaffiliated2024 margin≠ Irish ancestry

State House District Carroll 01

median age% unaffiliatedScottish ancestry

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

District research tools

Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

New Hampshire State House District Carroll 2. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/33102/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

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Places within New Hampshire State House District Carroll 2

counties it covers1

Frequently asked questions

How did New Hampshire State House District Carroll 2 vote in 2024?

In 2024, New Hampshire State House District Carroll 2 voted Democratic by 24.0 points (D+24.0), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 4,988 votes cast, 3,044 went Democratic and 1,849 went Republican.

When did New Hampshire State House District Carroll 2 last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which New Hampshire State House District Carroll 2 voted Republican was 1988.

How many people live in New Hampshire State House District Carroll 2?

New Hampshire State House District Carroll 2 has a population of 6,990 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in New Hampshire State House District Carroll 2?

Median household income in New Hampshire State House District Carroll 2 is $83,383 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Hampshire state median is $99,031.

What is the political history of New Hampshire State House District Carroll 2?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in New Hampshire State House District Carroll 2 from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 20 went Republican.