HarrisDemocratic56.1%3,372TrumpRepublican42.1%2,529OtherAll other candidates1.8%106
D+14.0- Lead
- 843
- Total
- 6,007
- vs nation
- D+15.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
New Hampshire State House District Carroll 1
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic57.7%3,380TrumpRepublican40.6%2,380OtherAll other candidates1.7%100
D+17.1- Lead
- 1,000
- Total
- 5,860
- vs nation
- D+12.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic51.6%2,717TrumpRepublican41.8%2,204OtherAll other candidates6.6%347
D+9.7- Lead
- 513
- Total
- 5,268
- vs nation
- D+7.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic56.1%2,912RomneyRepublican42.4%2,202OtherAll other candidates1.5%78
D+13.7- Lead
- 710
- Total
- 5,192
- vs nation
- D+9.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic59.8%3,198McCainRepublican38.8%2,073OtherAll other candidates1.5%78
D+21.0- Lead
- 1,125
- Total
- 5,349
- vs nation
- D+13.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic54.5%2,768BushRepublican45.3%2,300OtherAll other candidates0.3%14
D+9.2- Lead
- 468
- Total
- 5,082
- vs nation
- D+11.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic50.1%2,058BushRepublican48.2%1,983OtherAll other candidates1.7%70
D+1.8- Lead
- 75
- Total
- 4,111
- vs nation
- D+1.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic53.9%1,852DoleRepublican42.0%1,444OtherAll other candidates4.1%140
D+11.9- Lead
- 408
- Total
- 3,436
- vs nation
- D+3.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+14.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 9,8222024 5-year
- Population density
- 141 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 69.5 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $64,3852024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+21.2 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+60.1 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 48, ME · twin score 95.2
presidential history
Party record book
New Hampshire State House District Carroll 1 · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Samuel J. Tilden1876
60.5%
533 votes · D+21.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 59.8%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
80.1%
1,189 votes · R+60.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 78.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
3,380votes
57.7% of the vote · D+17.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 3,372 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
2,529votes
42.1% of the vote · D+14.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 2,380 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+15.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+14.0 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · +13.8 pts
Republican
Richard Nixon1960
+47.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+47.4 · U.S. D+0.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · +45.2 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
DDavid PaigeState House · Carroll 1
DSteve WoodcockState House · Carroll 1
DTom BucoState House · Carroll 1
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Carroll 01 covers a slice of New Hampshire's White Mountains region, where tourism-driven communities and second-home owners have pushed the presidential margin toward Democrats by 14 points in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 21.2 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 60.1 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.0 points.
A population of 9,822, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,385 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 48 and State House District Carroll 02.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State House District 48
Maine
95.2twin score
median age% unaffiliatedScottish ancestry≠ Irish ancestry
State House District Carroll 02
New Hampshire
95.0twin score
median age% unaffiliatedScottish ancestry
State House District 15
Maine
94.2twin score
median age% unaffiliatedpopulation scale≠ Scottish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New Hampshire State House District Carroll 1. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/33101/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
New Hampshire at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within New Hampshire State House District Carroll 1
counties it covers1
Frequently asked questions
How did New Hampshire State House District Carroll 1 vote in 2024?
In 2024, New Hampshire State House District Carroll 1 voted Democratic by 14.0 points (D+14.0), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 6,007 votes cast, 3,372 went Democratic and 2,529 went Republican.
When did New Hampshire State House District Carroll 1 last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which New Hampshire State House District Carroll 1 voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in New Hampshire State House District Carroll 1?
New Hampshire State House District Carroll 1 has a population of 9,822 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New Hampshire State House District Carroll 1?
Median household income in New Hampshire State House District Carroll 1 is $64,385 — below the national median of $80,734. The New Hampshire state median is $99,031.
What is the political history of New Hampshire State House District Carroll 1?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in New Hampshire State House District Carroll 1 from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 20 went Republican.