HarrisDemocratic46.0%2,912TrumpRepublican52.0%3,296OtherAll other candidates2.0%127
R+6.1- Lead
- 384
- Total
- 6,335
- vs nation
- R+4.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
New Hampshire State House District Grafton 1
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic48.5%2,886TrumpRepublican49.7%2,959OtherAll other candidates1.7%103
R+1.2- Lead
- 73
- Total
- 5,948
- vs nation
- R+5.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic41.2%2,250TrumpRepublican50.2%2,740OtherAll other candidates8.7%473
R+9.0- Lead
- 490
- Total
- 5,463
- vs nation
- R+11.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic47.4%2,524RomneyRepublican50.0%2,666OtherAll other candidates2.6%137
R+2.7- Lead
- 142
- Total
- 5,327
- vs nation
- R+6.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic49.8%2,693McCainRepublican47.7%2,581OtherAll other candidates2.4%132
D+2.1- Lead
- 112
- Total
- 5,406
- vs nation
- R+5.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic43.6%2,392BushRepublican54.8%3,002OtherAll other candidates1.6%87
R+11.1- Lead
- 610
- Total
- 5,481
- vs nation
- R+8.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic35.0%1,683BushRepublican56.0%2,695OtherAll other candidates9.0%435
R+21.0- Lead
- 1,012
- Total
- 4,813
- vs nation
- R+21.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic37.2%1,599DoleRepublican46.6%2,003OtherAll other candidates16.2%696
R+9.4- Lead
- 404
- Total
- 4,298
- vs nation
- R+17.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+6.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 10,7992024 5-year
- Population density
- 59 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 182 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $67,6172024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+2.1 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+65.0 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 52, ME · twin score 96.0
presidential history
Party record book
New Hampshire State House District Grafton 1 · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
49.8%
2,693 votes · D+2.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 48.5%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
82.4%
2,332 votes · R+65.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 80.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
2,912votes
46.0% of the vote · R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 2,886 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
3,296votes
52.0% of the vote · R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 3,002 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
−4.6pts D vs U.S.
Place R+6.1 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · −5.2 pts
Republican
Alf Landon1936
+59.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+35.4 · U.S. D+24.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1932 · +53.0 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RCalvin BeaulierState House · Grafton 1
RDarrell LouisState House · Grafton 1
RJoseph BartonState House · Grafton 1
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 1 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 60.5%3,844 | 39.5%2,512 | 6,356 |
With roughly 10,800 residents spread across New Hampshire's Grafton County, this district posted a 6.1-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, reflecting the gradual rightward shift seen across many rural northern New England constituencies.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 2.1 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 65.0 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 6.1 points.
A population of 10,799, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,617 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 52 and State House District Grafton 05.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State House District 52
Maine
96.0twin score
% unaffiliatedpopulation scaleelasticity
State House District Grafton 05
New Hampshire
95.7twin score
elasticity% unaffiliatedpopulation scale≠ median age
State House District Grafton 06
New Hampshire
95.4twin score
elasticity% unaffiliatedScottish ancestry≠ population scale
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New Hampshire State House District Grafton 1. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/33401/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
New Hampshire at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within New Hampshire State House District Grafton 1
counties it covers1
Frequently asked questions
How did New Hampshire State House District Grafton 1 vote in 2024?
In 2024, New Hampshire State House District Grafton 1 voted Republican by 6.1 points (R+6.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 6,335 votes cast, 2,912 went Democratic and 3,296 went Republican.
When did New Hampshire State House District Grafton 1 last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which New Hampshire State House District Grafton 1 voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in New Hampshire State House District Grafton 1?
New Hampshire State House District Grafton 1 has a population of 10,799 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New Hampshire State House District Grafton 1?
Median household income in New Hampshire State House District Grafton 1 is $67,617 — below the national median of $80,734. The New Hampshire state median is $99,031.
What is the political history of New Hampshire State House District Grafton 1?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in New Hampshire State House District Grafton 1 from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 37 went Republican.