akashic
1876–2024
State House District Grafton 04·New Hampshire

New Hampshire 404th State House District has voted Democratic in nine straight presidential cycles.

A small Grafton County district that leans measurably Democratic at the presidential level

1876 — 2024·38 elections
NH
Latest
D+20
in 2024
Archetype
Democratic loyalist
since the recent cycles
Population
7,188
2024 ACS

New Hampshire 404th State House District, New Hampshire: Democratic loyalist district. In 2024, voted D+20%. Republican peak: R+48 in 1956.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+20MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Democratic loyalistAkashic typology
Population
7,1882024 5-year
Median household income
$88,2612024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
88.3%2024 5-year
Black
1.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
2.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+28 in 2008MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+48 in 1956MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
1 counties · 1 D · 0 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+19.8%
2,5741,7104,361
D
+24.5%
2,5891,5534,224
D
+18.6%
2,2241,4833,994
D
+23.7%
2,3271,4213,824
D
+27.8%
2,4541,3803,870
D
+12.6%
2,0431,5823,665
D
+0.6%
1,4301,4123,022
D
+16.2%
1,5211,0572,871
D
+5.4%
1,2011,0492,836
R
−24.6%
8961,4852,395
R
−35.5%
6831,4402,130
R
−29.5%
5681,1922,118
R
−22.7%
7021,1261,866
R
−32.5%
6541,2961,975
R
−23.5%
6101,0051,682
D
+19.5%
9806601,641
R
−29.8%
6101,1281,738
R
−48.1%
4261,2181,645
R
−44.5%
4781,2431,721
R
−28.1%
5349561,504
R
−11.2%
6828541,537
R
−8.1%
7628961,657
R
−14.0%
6658841,562
R
−12.7%
6518431,508
R
−34.8%
4719801,464
R
−31.4%
4188191,277
R
−22.5%
4767531,232
R
−1.6%
362374743
D
+2.4%
293275748
R
−27.2%
279493788
R
−26.7%
273476761
R
−25.6%
282482781
R
−42.8%
180484710
R
−0.4%
374377765
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
21.1%
Irish
17.1%
German
9.8%
French
9.1%
Italian
7.4%
Scottish
5.5%
American
5.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 44.1 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
1.0%
85+
1.7%
3.2%
75–84
3.5%
6.8%
65–74
6.8%
7.3%
55–64
7.8%
5.3%
45–54
5.7%
5.7%
35–44
5.5%
6.0%
25–34
6.0%
6.4%
18–24
5.9%
6.1%
5–17
5.8%
1.9%
<5
1.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$88,261
State House District Grafton 04 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State House District Grafton 04$88,261
New Hampshire$99,031
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
10.4%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1810.8%
Working age (18–64)10.3%
Seniors (65+)10.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
93.8%
speak English only
Other Indo-European2.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.2%
Spanish1.0%
Other languages0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
13.5%
Other Christian
4.2%
Mainline Protestant
3.9%
Methodist
2.1%
Baptist
1.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.3%
Non-Christian
0.6%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 73.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With roughly 3,300 residents, Grafton 04 is one of New Hampshire's more compact state house districts, and its 2024 presidential margin of D+10.6 places it noticeably left of the state's competitive statewide average.

The Democratic margin in New Hampshire 404th State House District reached its widest at twenty-eight points in 2008. The margin in 2024 was twenty points — still decisive.

Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $88,261, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 7,188 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State House District Grafton 04, New Hampshire. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/33404/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State House District Grafton 04, New Hampshire vote in 2024?
In 2024, State House District Grafton 04, New Hampshire voted Democratic by 19.8 points (D+20), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 4,361 votes cast, 2,574 went Democratic and 1,710 went Republican.
What is State House District Grafton 04, New Hampshire's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State House District Grafton 04, New Hampshire as a "Democratic loyalist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 11 times, Republican 23 times, and other 0 times.
When did State House District Grafton 04, New Hampshire last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which State House District Grafton 04, New Hampshire voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in State House District Grafton 04, New Hampshire?
State House District Grafton 04, New Hampshire has a population of 7,188 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State House District Grafton 04, New Hampshire?
Median household income in State House District Grafton 04, New Hampshire is $88,261 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Hampshire state median is $99,031.
What is the political history of State House District Grafton 04, New Hampshire?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District Grafton 04, New Hampshire from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 23 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Democratic loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.