- Lead
- 659
- Total
- 5,515
- vs nation
- R+10.5
New Hampshire State House District Merrimack 4
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 373
- Total
- 5,486
- vs nation
- R+11.3
- Lead
- 671
- Total
- 4,920
- vs nation
- R+15.7
- Lead
- 39
- Total
- 4,574
- vs nation
- R+3.0
- Lead
- 88
- Total
- 4,540
- vs nation
- R+5.3
- Lead
- 35
- Total
- 4,284
- vs nation
- D+1.6
- Lead
- 166
- Total
- 3,527
- vs nation
- R+5.2
- Lead
- 271
- Total
- 2,996
- vs nation
- D+0.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+11.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 7,9652024 5-year
- Population density
- 89 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 90 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $110,4172024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+17.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48.7 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District Merrimack 05, NH · twin score 97.6
presidential history
Party record book
New Hampshire State House District Merrimack 4 · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
58.6%
1,063 votes · D+17.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · 51.7%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
74.4%
1,322 votes · R+48.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 71.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
2,506votes
45.7% of the vote · R+6.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 2,385 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
3,044votes
55.2% of the vote · R+11.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 2,879 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+2.5pts D vs U.S.
Place R+23.6 · U.S. R+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · +1.6 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+39.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+45.7 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · +33.3 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With fewer than 8,000 residents, Merrimack 04 recorded a 11.9-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, consistent with the rightward lean seen across New Hampshire's inland, lower-density districts.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 17.1 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 48.7 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 11.9 points.
A population of 7,965, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $110,417 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District Merrimack 05 and State House District 140.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New Hampshire State House District Merrimack 4. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/33604/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.