- Lead
- 3,777
- Total
- 8,463
- vs nation
- D+46.1
New Hampshire State House District Strafford 10
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 4,258
- Total
- 7,836
- vs nation
- D+49.9
- Lead
- 4,051
- Total
- 9,631
- vs nation
- D+40.0
- Lead
- 3,665
- Total
- 7,972
- vs nation
- D+42.1
- Lead
- 4,127
- Total
- 8,060
- vs nation
- D+43.9
- Lead
- 2,500
- Total
- 6,090
- vs nation
- D+43.5
- Lead
- 1,843
- Total
- 5,018
- vs nation
- D+36.2
- Lead
- 2,045
- Total
- 4,512
- vs nation
- D+36.8
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+44.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 15,4902024 5-year
- Population density
- 692 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 22.4 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $124,0562024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+60.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+11.4 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District Strafford 15, NH · twin score 91.8
presidential history
Party record book
New Hampshire State House District Strafford 10 · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
80.0%
2,301 votes · D+60.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 76.2%
Republican
William McKinley1896
52.7%
375 votes · R+11.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 46.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Hillary Clinton2016
6,501votes
67.5% of the vote · D+42.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 6,047 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2016
2,450votes
25.4% of the vote · D+42.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 2,270 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
+49.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+54.3 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · +46.1 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+5.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+11.4 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1912 · −10.7 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Anchored in the Durham area, Strafford 10 recorded a 44.6-point Democratic presidential margin in 2024 — an outlier even within a competitive state — driven largely by the University of New Hampshire's student and faculty population.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 60.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 11.4 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 9.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 44.6 points.
A population of 15,490, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $124,056 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District Strafford 15 and Addison-1 State House District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New Hampshire State House District Strafford 10. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/33810/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.