Akashic
1876–2024
Governors / Governor

Vermont — Governor

ForecastA single, locked expectationas of June 22, 2026. Predicted outcomes, never results.

The call

Safe R

We expect Republican to win 96%.

RatingSafe R
Win probabilityR 96%
Predicted margin
The substrate
2024 baselineD+31.5
2022 resultD+47.0
Seat held byRepublican

The rating is grounded in this seat’s record on Akashic — its partisan lean, same-office history, and demographics. Read the full profile on the VT state page.

On election night this page will show the live result beside the call; after certification it joins the permanent record and is scored. · All Governors races →