HarrisDemocratic53.5%68,108TrumpRepublican43.1%54,850KennedyWe The People1.6%2,080
D+10.4- Lead
- 13,258
- Total
- 127,375
- vs nation
- D+11.9
- Turnout
- 79.4%
Akashiccounty
Deschutes County, OR
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 79.4% of 161,932 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic52.7%65,962TrumpRepublican44.4%55,646JorgensenLibertarian1.7%2,097
D+8.2- Lead
- 10,316
- Total
- 125,234
- vs nation
- D+3.8
- Turnout
- 84.7%
ClintonDemocratic43.1%42,444TrumpRepublican46.4%45,692JohnsonLibertarian5.2%5,158
R+3.3- Lead
- 3,248
- Total
- 98,557
- vs nation
- R+5.4
- Turnout
- 78.0%
ObamaDemocratic45.1%36,961RomneyRepublican51.8%42,463JohnsonLibertarian1.3%1,038
R+6.7- Lead
- 5,502
- Total
- 81,900
- vs nation
- R+10.6
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic48.7%38,819McCainRepublican49.0%39,064OtherAll other candidates2.4%1,899
R+0.3- Lead
- 245
- Total
- 79,782
- vs nation
- R+7.6
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic42.1%31,179BushRepublican56.4%41,757OtherAll other candidates1.5%1,112
R+14.3- Lead
- 10,578
- Total
- 74,048
- vs nation
- R+11.8
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic38.1%22,061BushRepublican55.5%32,132NaderGreen4.8%2,799
R+17.4- Lead
- 10,071
- Total
- 57,885
- vs nation
- R+17.9
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic37.9%17,151DoleRepublican46.7%21,135PerotReform11.7%5,306
R+8.8- Lead
- 3,984
- Total
- 45,282
- vs nation
- R+17.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+10.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 206,3342024 5-year
- Median household income
- $92,7582024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 83.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+50.6 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+29.8 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Nevada County, CA · twin score 94.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 79.4%128,626 participants ÷ 161,932 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.4 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 66.0%–69.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 101,582 | 130,246 | 78.0% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 98,813 | 139,018 | 71.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 126,626 | 149,466 | 84.7% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 111,035 | 155,783 | 71.3% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 128,626 | 161,932 | 79.4% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
50 precincts · 127,776 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -1717 | 2,507 | 3,187 | 248 | 5,942 | 42.2% | 53.6% | R+11.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -3636 | 2,243 | 2,982 | 217 | 5,442 | 41.2% | 54.8% | R+13.6 |
| Precinct -3939 | 2,155 | 3,042 | 166 | 5,363 | 40.2% | 56.7% | R+16.5 |
| Precinct -2929 | 1,806 | 2,754 | 170 | 4,730 | 38.2% | 58.2% | R+20.0 |
| Precinct -2020 | 2,643 | 1,891 | 181 | 4,715 | 56.1% | 40.1% | D+15.9 |
| Precinct -3535 | 3,178 | 1,103 | 120 | 4,401 | 72.2% | 25.1% | D+47.1 |
| Precinct -55 | 2,731 | 1,483 | 177 | 4,391 | 62.2% | 33.8% | D+28.4 |
| Precinct -2525 | 2,397 | 1,653 | 157 | 4,207 | 57.0% | 39.3% | D+17.7 |
| Precinct -33 | 3,191 | 675 | 147 | 4,013 | 79.5% | 16.8% | D+62.7 |
| Precinct -4646 | 2,352 | 1,116 | 148 | 3,616 | 65.0% | 30.9% | D+34.2 |
| Precinct -3333 | 2,003 | 1,439 | 106 | 3,548 | 56.5% | 40.6% | D+15.9 |
| Precinct -4242 | 1,480 | 1,771 | 114 | 3,365 | 44.0% | 52.6% | R+8.6 |
| Precinct -1818 | 947 | 2,224 | 78 | 3,249 | 29.1% | 68.5% | R+39.3 |
| Precinct -3434 | 1,813 | 1,255 | 135 | 3,203 | 56.6% | 39.2% | D+17.4 |
| Precinct -44 | 2,303 | 770 | 107 | 3,180 | 72.4% | 24.2% | D+48.2 |
| Precinct -22 | 1,824 | 1,234 | 118 | 3,176 | 57.4% | 38.9% | D+18.6 |
| Precinct -4444 | 1,818 | 1,184 | 76 | 3,078 | 59.1% | 38.5% | D+20.6 |
| Precinct -2828 | 1,253 | 1,690 | 113 | 3,056 | 41.0% | 55.3% | R+14.3 |
| Precinct -1313 | 1,388 | 1,543 | 104 | 3,035 | 45.7% | 50.8% | R+5.1 |
| Precinct -3131 | 1,347 | 1,574 | 85 | 3,006 | 44.8% | 52.4% | R+7.6 |
| Precinct -2121 | 1,155 | 1,653 | 111 | 2,919 | 39.6% | 56.6% | R+17.1 |
| Precinct -4747 | 1,981 | 732 | 77 | 2,790 | 71.0% | 26.2% | D+44.8 |
| Precinct -66 | 1,802 | 848 | 104 | 2,754 | 65.4% | 30.8% | D+34.6 |
| Precinct -4343 | 1,093 | 1,531 | 85 | 2,709 | 40.3% | 56.5% | R+16.2 |
| Precinct -3030 | 1,502 | 1,014 | 107 | 2,623 | 57.3% | 38.7% | D+18.6 |
| Precinct -2626 | 1,478 | 970 | 85 | 2,533 | 58.3% | 38.3% | D+20.1 |
| Precinct -11 | 1,910 | 429 | 88 | 2,427 | 78.7% | 17.7% | D+61.0 |
| Precinct -3232 | 1,587 | 726 | 84 | 2,397 | 66.2% | 30.3% | D+35.9 |
| Precinct -4848 | 658 | 1,672 | 66 | 2,396 | 27.5% | 69.8% | R+42.3 |
| Precinct -2727 | 1,872 | 408 | 89 | 2,369 | 79.0% | 17.2% | D+61.8 |
| Precinct -1515 | 1,190 | 1,079 | 83 | 2,352 | 50.6% | 45.9% | D+4.7 |
| Precinct -99 | 1,180 | 665 | 78 | 1,923 | 61.4% | 34.6% | D+26.8 |
| Precinct -4040 | 377 | 1,155 | 43 | 1,575 | 23.9% | 73.3% | R+49.4 |
| Precinct -1414 | 716 | 804 | 42 | 1,562 | 45.8% | 51.5% | R+5.6 |
| Precinct -77 | 1,139 | 287 | 35 | 1,461 | 78.0% | 19.6% | D+58.3 |
| Precinct -3838 | 760 | 623 | 58 | 1,441 | 52.7% | 43.2% | D+9.5 |
| Precinct -5050 | 410 | 992 | 39 | 1,441 | 28.5% | 68.8% | R+40.4 |
| Precinct -1111 | 988 | 395 | 56 | 1,439 | 68.7% | 27.4% | D+41.2 |
| Precinct -2323 | 468 | 903 | 51 | 1,422 | 32.9% | 63.5% | R+30.6 |
| Precinct -1616 | 836 | 472 | 31 | 1,339 | 62.4% | 35.3% | D+27.2 |
| Precinct -3737 | 600 | 516 | 44 | 1,160 | 51.7% | 44.5% | D+7.2 |
| Precinct -1919 | 382 | 675 | 40 | 1,097 | 34.8% | 61.5% | R+26.7 |
| Precinct -2424 | 253 | 649 | 23 | 925 | 27.4% | 70.2% | R+42.8 |
| Precinct -4545 | 523 | 361 | 28 | 912 | 57.3% | 39.6% | D+17.8 |
| Precinct -88 | 534 | 256 | 29 | 819 | 65.2% | 31.3% | D+33.9 |
| Precinct -1212 | 329 | 393 | 21 | 743 | 44.3% | 52.9% | R+8.6 |
| Precinct -4141 | 316 | 322 | 27 | 665 | 47.5% | 48.4% | R+0.9 |
| Precinct -4949 | 313 | 189 | 15 | 517 | 60.5% | 36.6% | D+24.0 |
| Precinct -2222 | 192 | 110 | 12 | 314 | 61.1% | 35.0% | D+26.1 |
| Precinct -1010 | 5 | 31 | 0 | 36 | 13.9% | 86.1% | R+72.2 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1920–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1920 | −19.0% |
| 1924 | −29.8% |
| 1928 | −24.0% |
| 1932 | +25.0% |
| 1936 | +50.6% |
| 1940 | +29.1% |
| 1944 | +19.6% |
| 1948 | +0.5% |
| 1952 | −29.0% |
| 1956 | −13.7% |
| 1960 | −3.7% |
| 1964 | +37.6% |
| 1968 | −6.6% |
| 1972 | −9.6% |
| 1976 | +2.2% |
| 1980 | −19.3% |
| 1984 | −24.6% |
| 1988 | −6.9% |
| 1992 | +0.1% |
| 1996 | −8.8% |
| 2000 | −17.4% |
| 2004 | −14.3% |
| 2008 | −0.3% |
| 2012 | −6.7% |
| 2016 | −3.3% |
| 2020 | +8.2% |
| 2024 | +10.4% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 36 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024D+2.6
Presidential vote · 2024D+10.4
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 7.8 points more Republican.
166,648 registered voters · 2024 · up from 158,110 in 2022
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+1,646 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +48,888 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $110,924 in average income, against $112,670 for residents who stayed — 2% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+15.6 on average — 5.2 points more Democratic-leaning than Deschutes County, OR itself (D+10.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Multnomah County, OR553D+61.6
- Washington County, OR341D+33.7
- Lane County, OR340D+22.9
- Clackamas County, OR299D+9.8
- Crook County, OR246R+50.2
- King County, WA225D+51.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Crook County, OR399
- Multnomah County, OR336
- Jefferson County, OR261
- Lane County, OR250
- Washington County, OR199
- Maricopa County, AZ157
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +1,458 |
| 2012 | +1,390 |
| 2013 | +3,540 |
| 2014 | +3,698 |
| 2015 | +4,291 |
| 2016 | +6,010 |
| 2017 | +5,815 |
| 2018 | +4,815 |
| 2019 | +5,498 |
| 2021 | +6,012 |
| 2022 | +960 |
| 2023 | +1,768 |
| 2024 | +1,987 |
| 2025 | +1,646 |
Deschutes anchors Oregon's outdoor-recreation economy around Bend, and its rapid in-migration of remote workers and retirees has flipped a once reliably Republican county to a consistent Democratic lean by double digits.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 50.6 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 29.8 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.2 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 10.4 points.
A population of 206,334, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $92,758 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Nevada County and Jefferson County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Nevada County
California
94.6twin score
12-yr trend2020–2024 trajectorycollege share≠ median age
Jefferson County
Colorado
93.6twin score
12-yr trend2020–2024 trajectorycollege share≠ median income
Larimer County
Colorado
93.5twin score
12-yr trend2020–2024 trajectorycollege share≠ median age
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Deschutes County, Oregon. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/41017/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Deschutes County
Oregon at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Deschutes County, Oregon vote in 2024?
In 2024, Deschutes County, Oregon voted Democratic by 10.4 points (D+10.4), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 127,375 votes cast, 68,108 went Democratic and 54,850 went Republican.
When did Deschutes County, Oregon last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Deschutes County, Oregon voted Republican was 2016.
How many people live in Deschutes County, Oregon?
Deschutes County, Oregon has a population of 206,334 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Deschutes County, Oregon?
Median household income in Deschutes County, Oregon is $92,758 — above the national median of $80,734. The Oregon state median is $83,011.
What is the political history of Deschutes County, Oregon?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Deschutes County, Oregon from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 17 went Republican.