- Lead
- 5,868
- Total
- 46,077
- vs nation
- D+14.2
Oregon 53rd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 4,134
- Total
- 44,851
- vs nation
- D+4.8
- Lead
- 604
- Total
- 34,767
- vs nation
- R+3.8
- Lead
- 1,490
- Total
- 28,964
- vs nation
- R+9.0
- Lead
- 389
- Total
- 28,124
- vs nation
- R+5.9
- Lead
- 3,317
- Total
- 26,039
- vs nation
- R+10.3
- Lead
- 3,223
- Total
- 20,399
- vs nation
- R+16.3
- Lead
- 1,154
- Total
- 15,981
- vs nation
- R+15.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+12.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 70,3782024 5-year
- Population density
- 131 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 538 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $100,7212024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 82.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+53.9 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+28.8 in 1952MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 38, CO · twin score 93.2
presidential history
Party record book
Oregon 53rd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1920–2024 · 27 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
74.1%
1,551 votes · D+53.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 69.8%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1952
64.2%
2,021 votes · R+28.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 61.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
25,166votes
54.6% of the vote · D+12.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 23,830 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
19,696votes
43.9% of the vote · D+9.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 19,298 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
+29.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+53.9 · U.S. D+24.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · +21.1 pts
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1952
+18.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+28.8 · U.S. R+10.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2000 · +16.3 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Oregon House District 53 sits in the suburban ring where voter preferences have been drifting rightward, making it a closely watched bellwether for down-ballot races in the region.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 53.9 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 28.8 points in 1952. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.5 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 12.7 points.
A population of 70,378, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $100,721 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 38 and State House District 54.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Oregon 53rd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/41053/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.