- Lead
- 14,407
- Total
- 42,711
- vs nation
- D+35.2
Oregon 54th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 13,009
- Total
- 42,684
- vs nation
- D+26.0
- Lead
- 5,078
- Total
- 33,688
- vs nation
- D+13.0
- Lead
- 3,696
- Total
- 27,411
- vs nation
- D+9.6
- Lead
- 5,339
- Total
- 27,092
- vs nation
- D+12.4
- Lead
- 1,559
- Total
- 24,498
- vs nation
- D+8.8
- Lead
- 391
- Total
- 19,130
- vs nation
- D+1.5
- Lead
- 1,381
- Total
- 15,295
- vs nation
- D+0.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+33.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 69,9482024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,516 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 27.8 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $90,7002024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 81.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+66.1 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+10.6 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 52, CO · twin score 92.6
presidential history
Party record book
Oregon 54th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1920–2024 · 27 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
80.4%
1,784 votes · D+66.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 76.6%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1952
52.4%
1,506 votes · R+5.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 52.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
27,768votes
65.0% of the vote · D+33.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 27,186 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
14,177votes
33.2% of the vote · D+30.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 13,361 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
+41.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+66.1 · U.S. D+24.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · +39.0 pts
Republican
Bob Dole1996
−0.5pts R vs U.S.
Place D+9.0 · U.S. D+8.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2000 · −1.5 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+33.7 in a district of roughly 70,000 residents, HD-54 ranks among the most reliably Democratic legislative seats in Oregon, leaving general-election competition rare.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 66.1 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 10.6 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.3 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 33.7 points.
A population of 69,948, a 82% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $90,700 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 52 and State House District 53.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Oregon 54th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/41054/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.