- Lead
- 15,445
- Total
- 43,406
- vs nation
- R+34.1
Oregon 59th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 13,961
- Total
- 41,669
- vs nation
- R+38.0
- Lead
- 12,106
- Total
- 33,061
- vs nation
- R+38.7
- Lead
- 8,773
- Total
- 28,035
- vs nation
- R+35.1
- Lead
- 6,567
- Total
- 27,793
- vs nation
- R+30.9
- Lead
- 9,494
- Total
- 27,002
- vs nation
- R+32.7
- Lead
- 7,446
- Total
- 22,031
- vs nation
- R+34.3
- Lead
- 2,861
- Total
- 18,249
- vs nation
- R+24.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+35.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 70,4622024 5-year
- Population density
- 16 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 4,501 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $85,0682024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 78.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 12.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+25.9 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+42.8 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 4, OR · twin score 90.7
presidential history
Party record book
Oregon 59th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1884) · 36 presidential cycles · 36 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
61.6%
4,530 votes · D+23.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 60.8%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
66.8%
18,028 votes · R+35.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 66.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
13,339votes
30.7% of the vote · R+35.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 13,311 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
28,784votes
66.3% of the vote · R+35.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 27,272 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Woodrow Wilson1916
+17.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+20.5 · U.S. D+3.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Grover Cleveland, 1892 · +9.3 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+38.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+36.6 · U.S. D+2.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +38.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+35.6, this district sits among the state's most lopsided in partisan lean, reflecting the rural eastern Oregon geography and small-town demographics that have long anchored Republican dominance here.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 25.9 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 42.8 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 35.6 points.
A population of 70,462, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $85,068 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 4 and Legislative (House) District 7.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Oregon 59th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/41059/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.