- Lead
- 48,399
- Total
- 211,285
- vs nation
- D+24.4
- Turnout
- 69.3%
Lane County, OR
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 69.3% of 307,515 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 54,030
- Total
- 222,253
- vs nation
- D+19.9
- Turnout
- 75.2%
- Lead
- 35,612
- Total
- 191,950
- vs nation
- D+16.5
- Turnout
- 70.3%
- Lead
- 40,143
- Total
- 171,850
- vs nation
- D+19.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 50,202
- Total
- 182,910
- vs nation
- D+20.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 32,762
- Total
- 185,872
- vs nation
- D+20.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 17,005
- Total
- 152,188
- vs nation
- D+10.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 21,208
- Total
- 139,787
- vs nation
- D+6.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+22.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 384,2072024 5-year
- Population density
- 84 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 4,554 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $71,5442024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 78.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+34.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51.8 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Humboldt County, CA · twin score 97.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 69.3%213,173 participants ÷ 307,515 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.4 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 55.9%–59.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 196,413 | 279,411 | 70.3% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 181,925 | 287,509 | 63.3% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 223,943 | 297,694 | 75.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 187,923 | 304,159 | 61.8% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 213,173 | 307,515 | 69.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Lane County, OR · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
67.1%
49,785 votes · D+34.6
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 62.3%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
75.0%
13,647 votes · R+51.8
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 65.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
134,366votes
60.5% of the vote · D+24.3
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 125,775 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
80,336votes
36.1% of the vote · D+24.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 77,376 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Michael Dukakis1988
+26.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+18.6 · U.S. R+7.7
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · +24.4 pts
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
+34.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+51.8 · U.S. R+17.5
Runner-up · Benjamin Harrison, 1892 · +27.5 pts
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 8.2 points more Democratic than the rolls.
281,184 registered voters · 2024 · up from 276,984 in 2022
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+522 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +26,720 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $59,607 in average income, against $84,029 for residents who stayed — 29% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+11.6 on average — 11 points more Republican-leaning than Lane County, OR itself (D+22.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Multnomah County, OR452D+61.6
- Linn County, OR378R+24.3
- Douglas County, OR320R+37.5
- Benton County, OR316D+39.3
- Washington County, OR258D+33.7
- Marion County, OR251R+2.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Multnomah County, OR689
- Linn County, OR443
- Washington County, OR350
- Deschutes County, OR340
- Douglas County, OR330
- Benton County, OR268
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +674 |
| 2012 | +536 |
| 2013 | +77 |
| 2014 | +1,718 |
| 2015 | +3,301 |
| 2016 | +5,851 |
| 2017 | +6,018 |
| 2018 | +3,323 |
| 2019 | +3,487 |
| 2021 | +2,758 |
| 2022 | +1,459 |
| 2023 | −3,469 |
| 2024 | +465 |
| 2025 | +522 |
Lane County's presidential margins have held well to the left of the national average, driven by the University of Oregon city of Eugene, though its vast forested eastern reaches consistently temper that advantage with a more conservative rural vote.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 34.6 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 51.8 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 22.9 points.
A population of 384,207, a 78% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,544 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Humboldt County and Multnomah County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Lane County, Oregon. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/41039/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.