HarrisDemocratic55.2%3,019TrumpRepublican41.9%2,292OtherAll other candidates3.0%162
D+13.3- Lead
- 727
- Total
- 5,473
- vs nation
- D+14.8
- Turnout
- —
Akashiccity
Florence, OR
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic51.3%3,016TrumpRepublican46.4%2,730OtherAll other candidates2.3%135
D+4.9- Lead
- 286
- Total
- 5,881
- vs nation
- D+0.4
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic44.5%2,118TrumpRepublican46.1%2,197OtherAll other candidates9.4%446
R+1.7- Lead
- 79
- Total
- 4,761
- vs nation
- R+3.7
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic50.4%2,289RomneyRepublican45.7%2,075OtherAll other candidates3.9%177
D+4.7- Lead
- 214
- Total
- 4,541
- vs nation
- D+0.9
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic53.3%2,574McCainRepublican44.5%2,147OtherAll other candidates2.2%107
D+8.8- Lead
- 427
- Total
- 4,828
- vs nation
- D+1.6
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic48.2%2,445BushRepublican49.9%2,531OtherAll other candidates1.8%92
R+1.7- Lead
- 86
- Total
- 5,068
- vs nation
- D+0.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+13.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 9,4822024 5-year
- Median household income
- $53,3332024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+13.3 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+1.7 in 2004MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Sequim, WA · twin score 97.3
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −1.7% |
| 2008 | +8.8% |
| 2012 | +4.7% |
| 2016 | −1.7% |
| 2020 | +4.9% |
| 2024 | +13.3% |
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 55.2%Harris3,019 | 41.9%Trump2,292 | 3.0% | D+13.3 | D+8.4 | D+14.8 | 5,473 | |
| D | 51.3%Biden3,016 | 46.4%Trump2,730 | 2.3% | D+4.9 | D+6.5 | D+0.4 | 5,881 | |
| R | 44.5%Clinton2,118 | 46.1%Trump2,197 | 9.4% | R+1.7 | R+6.4 | R+3.7 | 4,761 | |
| D | 50.4%Obama2,289 | 45.7%Romney2,075 | 3.9% | D+4.7 | R+4.1 | D+0.9 | 4,541 | |
| D | 53.3%Obama2,574 | 44.5%McCain2,147 | 2.2% | D+8.8 | — | D+1.6 | 4,828 | |
| R | 48.2%Kerry2,445 | 49.9%Bush2,531 | 1.8% | R+1.7 | — | D+0.8 | 5,068 |
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 1 Senate
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 55.3%2,844 | 44.7%2,299 | 5,143 |
| 2020 | D | 53.3%3,043 | 46.7%2,667 | 5,710 |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | D | 53.8%3,012 | 46.2%2,589 | 5,601 |
Florence sits at the Oregon coast where the Siuslaw River meets the Pacific, drawing retirees who have gradually tilted its voter profile older and more conservative than the university-anchored rest of Lane County.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 13.3 points in 2024 and a Republican high of 1.7 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 8.4 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 13.3 points.
A population of 9,482, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $53,333 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Sequim and Green Valley.
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Sequim
Washington
97.3twin score
median ageelasticitymedian income
Green Valley
Arizona
93.2twin score
median ageelasticity% Latino≠ Polish ancestry
Village of Oak Creek (Big Park)
Arizona
93.1twin score
median age12-yr trend% Latino
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Florence, Oregon. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4126050/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Oregon at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Florence, Oregon vote in 2024?
In 2024, Florence, Oregon voted Democratic by 13.3 points (D+13.3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 5,473 votes cast, 3,019 went Democratic and 2,292 went Republican.
When did Florence, Oregon last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Florence, Oregon voted Republican was 2016.
How many people live in Florence, Oregon?
Florence, Oregon has a population of 9,482 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Florence, Oregon?
Median household income in Florence, Oregon is $53,333 — below the national median of $80,734. The Oregon state median is $83,011.
What is the political history of Florence, Oregon?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Florence, Oregon from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 2 went Republican.