Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic35.3%753TrumpRepublican61.8%1,317OtherAll other candidates2.9%62
R+26.5
Lead
564
Total
2,132
vs nation
R+25.0
BidenDemocratic38.5%811TrumpRepublican59.2%1,245OtherAll other candidates2.3%48
R+20.6
Lead
434
Total
2,104
vs nation
R+25.1
ClintonDemocratic34.5%603TrumpRepublican57.8%1,009OtherAll other candidates7.7%135
R+23.2
Lead
406
Total
1,747
vs nation
R+25.3
ObamaDemocratic37.4%614RomneyRepublican59.8%982OtherAll other candidates2.7%45
R+22.4
Lead
368
Total
1,641
vs nation
R+26.3
ObamaDemocratic41.7%645McCainRepublican55.4%856OtherAll other candidates2.8%44
R+13.7
Lead
211
Total
1,545
vs nation
R+20.9
KerryDemocratic32.7%472BushRepublican65.0%938OtherAll other candidates2.4%34
R+32.3
Lead
466
Total
1,444
vs nation
R+29.8
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+26.5MIT Election Lab
Population
3,0922024 5-year
Population density
91 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
34.1 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$129,7552024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
95.7%2024 5-year
Black
0.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
1.6%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+32.3 in 2004MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20247 cycles · 4 audited
2024 turnout
93.7%2,180 participants ÷ 2,326 CVAP
2016→2018 drop-off
+0.7 ptsHigh-turnout, durable
Drop-off vs state
-1.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%80%100%
85.5%
84.5%
2004200820122016201820222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
2,180
2,326 ± 196
93.7%
Audited
E/A
2022Mid
1,690
1,999 ± 176
84.5%
Audited
E/A
2018Mid
1,820
2,129 ± 149
85.5%
Audited
E/A
1,835
2,128 ± 128
86.2%
Audited
E/A
1,641
2,005
81.8%
Derived
—
1,545
1,800
85.8%
Derived
—
1,444
1,595 extrapolated
90.5%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
presidential history
Party record book
Montana City, MT · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
41.7%
645 votes · R+13.7
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 38.5%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
65.0%
938 votes · R+32.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 61.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
811votes
38.5% of the vote · R+20.6
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 753 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
1,317votes
61.8% of the vote · R+26.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 1,245 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
−20.9pts D vs U.S.
Place R+13.7 · U.S. D+7.3
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · −25.0 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2004
+29.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+32.3 · U.S. R+2.5
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · +26.3 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Montana City · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Jefferson County, Montana, the county containing Montana City — Montana City’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Montana City, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Montana City functions as a residential overspill community for the state capital, drawing households that prefer exurban space without sacrificing access to Helena's government-sector employment base.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 32.3 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 5.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 26.5 points.
A population of 3,092, a 96% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $129,755 describe the city.
In 2024, Montana City voted Republican by 26.5 points (R+26.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,132 votes cast, 753 went Democratic and 1,317 went Republican.
How many people live in Montana City?
Montana City has a population of 3,092 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Montana City?
Median household income in Montana City is $129,755 — above the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Montana City?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Montana City from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
