Missoula, Montana
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +21.1% |
| 2008 | +40.7% |
| 2012 | +34.5% |
| 2016 | +33.1% |
| 2020 | +42.0% |
| 2024 | +40.5% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 68.4%Harris30,517 | 27.9%Trump12,451 | 3.8% | D+40.5 | R+1.6 | D+41.9 | 44,648 | |
| D | 69.8%Biden31,232 | 27.7%Trump12,417 | 2.5% | D+42.0 | D+8.9 | D+37.6 | 44,777 | |
| D | 61.8%Clinton23,205 | 28.7%Trump10,768 | 9.5% | D+33.1 | R+1.3 | D+31.1 | 37,523 | |
| D | 65.6%Obama23,904 | 31.1%Romney11,338 | 3.3% | D+34.5 | R+6.2 | D+30.6 | 36,433 | |
| D | 68.8%Obama26,247 | 28.1%McCain10,727 | 3.0% | D+40.7 | D+19.6 | D+33.4 | 38,125 | |
| D | 59.1%Kerry19,410 | 37.9%Bush12,462 | 3.0% | D+21.1 | — | D+23.6 | 32,852 |
Home to the University of Montana, Missoula votes reliably Democratic at the local and statewide level, making it one of the few urban counterweights to Montana's otherwise Republican-dominant electoral map.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 42.0 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 1.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 40.5 points.
A population of 76,514, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,392 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Boulder and Lawrence.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Missoula, Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/3050200/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.