Miles City, Montana
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −27.4% |
| 2008 | −7.3% |
| 2012 | −22.2% |
| 2016 | −42.6% |
| 2020 | −40.4% |
| 2024 | −42.2% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 26.9%Harris1,031 | 69.1%Trump2,647 | 4.0% | R+42.2 | R+1.8 | R+40.7 | 3,832 | |
| R | 28.5%Biden1,124 | 68.9%Trump2,715 | 2.6% | R+40.4 | D+2.3 | R+44.8 | 3,942 | |
| R | 24.9%Clinton863 | 67.5%Trump2,341 | 7.6% | R+42.6 | R+20.4 | R+44.7 | 3,467 | |
| R | 37.3%Obama1,378 | 59.5%Romney2,199 | 3.1% | R+22.2 | R+14.9 | R+26.1 | 3,693 | |
| R | 44.6%Obama1,701 | 51.9%McCain1,979 | 3.5% | R+7.3 | D+20.1 | R+14.6 | 3,814 | |
| R | 35.3%Kerry1,210 | 62.7%Bush2,147 | 2.0% | R+27.4 | — | R+24.9 | 3,424 |
Miles City anchors Custer County, a reliably right-leaning stretch of southeastern Montana where livestock economics and rural identity consistently drive voter priorities. The city's small but stable population makes it a bellwether for the region's agricultural precincts.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 42.6 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 1.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 42.2 points.
A population of 8,407, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,727 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Sullivan and Olney.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Miles City, Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/3049525/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.