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Akashic

state house district

Montana 92nd State House District

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German21.3%22.9%12.5%

Irish15.8%13.5%9.4%

English13.3%13.1%9.5%

Norwegian6.4%7.5%—

Italian4.6%3.2%4.8%

American3.8%5.4%5.3%

French3.5%—1.6%

Scottish3.1%2.6%1.3%

Mexican2.2%2.9%11.3%

Spanish0.3%0.3%—

Blackfeet0.7%1.0%—

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	MT HD 92	Montana	United States
Median age	44.4	40.8	39.1
Age 18–24	12.9%	9.1%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	17.1%	20.0%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	MT HD 92	Montana	United States
Median household income	$69,726	$72,509	$84,427
Poverty rate	12.9%	11.5%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	47.4%	35.3%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	MT HD 92	Montana	United States
Owner-occupied homes	68.5%	69.2%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	31.5%	30.8%	34.8%
Median home value	$449,700	$375,800	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$1,189	$1,081	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	55.7%	44.8%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	13.3%	13.2%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	MT HD 92	Montana	United States
Mean commute	21.5 min	19.1 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	7.3%	4.8%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	68.6%	71.1%	68.8%
Takes public transit	0.3%	0.6%	3.2%
Works from home	15.9%	12.5%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	MT HD 92	Montana	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	4.8%	4.2%	22.3%
Spanish	1.6%	1.5%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	MT HD 92	Montana	United States
Catholic	—	10.3%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	—	13.6%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	—	65.3%	51.5%

Origins and service

Measure	MT HD 92	Montana	United States
Foreign-born residents	2.0%	2.3%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	1.2%	1.2%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	0.9%	1.1%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	8.6%	9.0%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.504	0.465	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083).

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries

HarrisDemocratic58.4%3,979TrumpRepublican38.5%2,623OtherAll other candidates3.2%216

D+19.9

Lead: 1,356
Total: 6,818
vs nation: D+21.4

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

BidenDemocratic59.7%4,072TrumpRepublican37.4%2,555OtherAll other candidates2.9%198

D+22.2

Lead: 1,517
Total: 6,825
vs nation: D+17.8

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic51.1%2,966TrumpRepublican37.5%2,177OtherAll other candidates11.4%659

D+13.6

Lead: 789
Total: 5,802
vs nation: D+11.5

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic56.6%3,070RomneyRepublican40.7%2,207OtherAll other candidates2.7%145

D+15.9

Lead: 863
Total: 5,422
vs nation: D+12.1

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic60.6%3,418McCainRepublican36.1%2,034OtherAll other candidates3.3%184

D+24.6

Lead: 1,384
Total: 5,636
vs nation: D+17.3

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

KerryDemocratic51.0%2,563BushRepublican46.6%2,340OtherAll other candidates2.4%119

D+4.4

Lead: 223
Total: 5,022
vs nation: D+6.9

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

GoreDemocratic35.9%1,592BushRepublican47.6%2,109OtherAll other candidates16.5%732

R+11.7

Lead: 517
Total: 4,433
vs nation: R+12.2

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic49.0%2,070DoleRepublican37.1%1,568OtherAll other candidates13.9%588

D+11.9

Lead: 502
Total: 4,226
vs nation: D+3.4

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+19.9MIT Election Lab
Population: 10,9102024 5-year
Population density: 10 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 1,089 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $69,7262024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 86.8%2024 5-year
Black: 0.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 3.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+75.5 in 1896MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+26.2 in 1956MIT Election Lab
Most similar: State House District 97, MT · twin score 96.1

presidential history

Party record book

Montana 92nd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

William J. Bryan1896

87.8%

201 votes · D+75.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 72.0%

Republican

Dwight D. Eisenhower1956

63.1%

1,055 votes · R+26.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 61.4%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Joe Biden2020

4,072votes

59.7% of the vote · D+22.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 3,979 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

2,623votes

38.5% of the vote · D+19.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 2,555 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

William J. Bryan1896

+81.6pts D vs U.S.

Place D+75.5 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · +23.3 pts

Republican

George W. Bush2000

+12.2pts R vs U.S.

Place R+11.7 · U.S. D+0.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · +10.8 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

DConnie KeoghState House · 92

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

U.S. House elections · 3 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	63.0%4,033	37.0%2,368	6,401
2020	D	62.7%4,046	37.3%2,411	6,457
2018	D	65.7%3,564	34.3%1,859	5,423

Its Democratic presidential margin was D+19.8 in 2024 and D+24.6 in 2008. About 50,900 residents lived here, with White alone at 86.9% in the 2024 ACS 5-year.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 75.5 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 26.2 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 19.9 points.

A population of 10,910, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,726 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 97 and State House District 96.

Political twins — state-house districts

The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

State House District 97

% unaffiliatedpopulation scale2024 margin≠ median age

State House District 96

% unaffiliatedelasticitypopulation scale≠ median age

State House District 93

% unaffiliated2008–2024 trajectorypopulation scale≠ median age

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

District research tools

Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Montana 92nd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/30092/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Montana at the ballot boxAll elections →

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Places within Montana 92nd State House District

counties it covers1

Missoula County

Frequently asked questions

How did Montana 92nd State House District vote in 2024?

In 2024, Montana 92nd State House District voted Democratic by 19.9 points (D+19.9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 6,818 votes cast, 3,979 went Democratic and 2,623 went Republican.

When did Montana 92nd State House District last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Montana 92nd State House District voted Republican was 2000.

How many people live in Montana 92nd State House District?

Montana 92nd State House District has a population of 10,910 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Montana 92nd State House District?

Median household income in Montana 92nd State House District is $69,726 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.

What is the political history of Montana 92nd State House District?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Montana 92nd State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.